PPP: Obama headed for a big win in New Mexico

[L. Coyote]

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 31, 2008 - http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NewMexico_1031582.pdf


Obama headed for a big win in New Mexico

Raleigh, N.C. – Barack Obama has opened up a 17 point lead in Public Policy Polling’s
final pre-election survey of New Mexico. He is up 58-41 on John McCain, a six point
increase in his margin since a mid-September PPP poll showed him up by 11 points in the
state.

Obama is polling extremely well with two key groups of New Mexico voters:
independents and Hispanics. Among independents he has a remarkable 66-28 lead, and
with Hispanics it’s 62-37.

One key thing for Obama’s chances in the state is that he has built up a 64-36 lead with
those who have already voted.

“New Mexico may be the state that sees the biggest turnaround in how it votes in 2008
compared to what it did in 2004,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.
“It’s hard to believe George W. Bush took this state just four years ago given the huge
margin it appears Barack Obama will win it by.”

In the contest for the state’s vacant US Senate seat, Democrat Tom Udall continues to
hold a dominant lead as he has in most public opinion polling over the last year. His
margin is now 58-39 over Steve Pearce.

PPP surveyed 1,537 likely voters from October 28th to 30th. The survey’s margin of
error is +/-2.5%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may
introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

Complete results are attached and can be found at www.publicpolicypolling.com.
.......

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Q & A stats follow in PDF.

[Arugula Latte]

1. They won't be able to steal New Mexico.

Good, good, good.

[L. Coyote]

2. Paper ballots!!