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KNOW THIS: BUSH LEADS BY 1 CHENEY %. THAT'S ALL.

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-10-04 08:38 PM
Original message
KNOW THIS: BUSH LEADS BY 1 CHENEY %. THAT'S ALL.
It's time to put the BOGUS Newsweek and Time polls behind us.
They're Rove-inspired designed to demoralize us.

Cheney him. He's going down.

Why do I say this? Because the state polls confirm the national polls:

17 national poll average:
Kerry 46.0%
Bush 47.12%

51 state polls:
Kerry 46.25%
Bush 46.88%

And Kerry's leading with 287 EV, the average of 5000 Monte Carlo simulations, of which he won 77%. Why? Because he'll get at least 60% of the undecided/Nader vote. Add that to his current totals and he is a winner.

One final word. Kerry has FLIM-FLAM ARTIST Bush on the AWOL run. Bush will drown in scandal before this is all over, CNN and FOX not withstanding.

Thank you, Dan Rather.

Here is the TRUTH:
http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/
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Elidor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-10-04 08:41 PM
Response to Original message
1. Yes, indeedy!
Edited on Fri Sep-10-04 08:42 PM by Hardhead
And if the corporate whore media polls can't paint Bushie-boy any better than 1% ahead, you know he's a floater, politically speaking.

And it's not surprising to see how desperate the Bushies are - they know that if they lose power, some of them are going to prison.

OFF WITH THEIR HEADS! Ooops, wait - wrong country, wrong revolution. How about UP THEIR ASSES!
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libhill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-10-04 08:47 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Nah,
I like off with their heads much better. Or, how 'bout hang 'em high?
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geek tragedy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-10-04 08:44 PM
Response to Original message
2. I appreciate your hard work on this, but
you should probably choose 6-8 polls and stick with them, regardless of whether the results happend to be favorable in a given week.
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StClone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-10-04 08:45 PM
Response to Original message
3. Also, newly registered voters don't count in most polls
However, from what I see and hear there will be more for us.
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SayitAintSo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-10-04 08:57 PM
Response to Original message
5. Good work Truth ! n/t
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-10-04 11:00 PM
Response to Original message
6. ONE is the loneliest number that you ever knew...
tia
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-11-04 01:18 AM
Response to Reply #6
7. A reminder for all those damn alarmists: ONE ONE ONE
ONE PERCENT.

WELL MAYBE 1.5%

BFD
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CityDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-11-04 01:46 AM
Response to Original message
8. In margin of error
This race is close and within the margin of error. Turnout on nov 2 will be the key.
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