Kerry 273 in electoral count

[deutsey]

www.electoral-vote.com

Pennsylvania in the "barely Kerry" category now.

[Warpy]

1. What goes up must come down

Expect to see the minor bounce Chicken George got from his combination tent revival and hatefest evaporate over the next few weeks. Also expect to see voter registration pick up tremendously, as people who haven't voted for years register to get rid of Bush.

I'm delighted to see that the GOP hatefest backfired in my own area, turning New Mexico from a tossup to solidly pro Kerry. I'm also delighted to see Colorado move from weak Bush to tossup to weak Kerry.

Hate feels great, but only the completely joyless will continue to cling to it for longer than a couple of weeks.

[Norquist Nemesis]

2. Even with the push polling going on

I still have a good feeling about things. :)

From the electoral vote narrative:

http://www.jsonline.com/news/metro/aug04/255181.asp
Pushed by poll, state Democrat pushes back
<snip>
The question, as Krajewski wrote in his affidavit: "Whose position do you think is closer to the truth - those 'veterans who served with John Kerry' and say that he does not deserve the medals that he received, or John Kerry who disagrees with the veterans that he served with and who appear in the ad?"

<snip>

Days after conducting the poll, the firm put out a news release nationally, saying it had found that President Bush was slightly ahead of his Democratic challenger in Wisconsin, though the lead was within the 4 percentage point margin of error. The release said the poll was conducted "for our own consumption."

<snip>

Bob Moore, the firm's president and founder, declined to discuss any of the questions in the poll, including the one on the controversial ads put out by Swift Boat Veterans for Truth.

<snip>

Actually, Wisconsin law requires pollsters to disclose who is paying them if a person being questioned asks for that info. And - no surprise here - Krajewski swears he repeatedly demanded the info of the questioner, her supervisor and, ultimately, Moore himself.

Moore told us, "I never heard of that law before."

<snip>

[Longhorn]

3. I go to this site first thing every morning and I've been waiting for this

day when Kerry retakes the lead. Just hope he holds on to it! :D

[joanne]

4. I think he will hold on to it

Nice to see more states like Colorado leaning his way.

I was getting SO SICK of the media (CNN, MSNBC, etc) more or less saying the race was over. Ridiculous!


We have a LOT of work ahead. We will need every vote we can get especially from swing states.

But Kerry is going to be our next President!

[coloradodem2005]

5. Keep your fingers crossed.

Hopefully Kerry can run away with this after the debates.

[GaryL]

6. If he does well in the debates...

He will.

[tedoll78]

7. Just think..

we haven't even begun to advertise heavily. October will be MustSeeKerryTV month.

[roseBudd]

8. he must not sigh or roll his eyes

[LisaL]

9. And look at NM.

It's going Kerry's way too. Right now it's strong Kerry.

[derrald]

10. didja read the piece about Moore Information?

Worth a good read, I'm gonna take a look that article over.

[papau]

11. Wash Post disagrees

Are only 10 states still "competitive states" (as suggested by Wash Post)


Does DU agree with Dan Balz of the Washington Post that only 10 states are still "competitive states"

Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada, New Mexico, West Virginia and New Hampshire, with West Virginia and Nevada major, major challenges for Kerry - more so than the other 8.

Are the other 11 "battleground states" really leaning too far to be called "competitive, because - per Baltz- we have -7 Leaning toward Bush which are: Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina and Virginia - with 4 leaning toward Kerry which are: Maine, Michigan, Oregon and Washington.

And of the 10 that are still "competitive", the Bush team will be putting major money to win into Minnesota, Iowa and Wisconsin, while they view Pennsylvania and Wisconsin as states they can make Kerry work very hard to defend, and see West Virginia and Nevada as quite likely to go their way.

Is it really down to a huge effort to fight the above battle, while the winner of 2 out 3 of Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio wins the election?