SurveyUSA K46/B48 - We need to start advertising again in Missouri

[unfrigginreal]

I read the other day that the campaign was going to stop running ads in Missouri. Based on this new poll it looks like that decision should be revisited.

Survey: Bush, Kerry Tied In Missouri

(KSDK) - President Bush and John Kerry are statistically tied in the race for president in Missouri according to our exclusive Survey USA.

In a poll taken earlier this week of 660 likely voters, 48 percent of those polled would vote for President Bush, 46 percent for John Kerry.

snip

However, the results are quite different in a CNN/USA Today Gallup poll. Registered voters in Missouri favored President Bush at 55 percent and John Kerry at just 41 percent.

Why do two surveys have sharply different results?

Jay Leve, editor of Survey USA, believes it's because the Gallop poll was conducted over the Labor Day weekend, a couple of days before Survey USA's poll, "Gallup does excellent work and I don't want to say anything that disputes that. We've made the judgment not to poll anywhere over the Labor Day weekend anywhere, including Missouri. It's a holiday for a lot of working people and a lot of working families go away. It may be the case that a poll conducted entirely over the weekend picked up a few more Republicans than it should of. I'm not saying that it did or didn't happen. We just don't think the state is quite as Republican both at the top of the ticket for president of the United States or down the ticket for governor or United States senator."

http://www.ksdk.com/news/news_article.aspx?storyid=66684

[DemMother]

1. Democrats announced yesterday they will run ads in MO and CO

"Changing course, Democrats have decided to run television ads in Missouri and Colorado, states that earlier this week appeared to have fallen to second-tier status in the party's strategy to win the White House.

The reversal signals that Democrats haven't given up on the two Republican-leaning states despite polls showing Sen. John Kerry trailing President Bush in both, including a double-digit deficit in Missouri."

http://www.guardian.co.uk/worldlatest/story/0,1280,-4487136,00.html

[unfrigginreal]

2. Thanks

[Zynx]

3. If we give up on MO and CO we have lost the election.

The reason Gore is not president today is because he wrote off too many states.

Good thing this time we are not writing them off.

[Doosh]

5. agree, pickups here and in Arkansas could be a safety valve

in case things don't go well in Pennsylvania or Ohio.

[iwantmycountryback]

4. He's also up 49-47 in PA

In looking at these Survey USA polls Kerry consistently has about a 20 point lead over Bush among moderates. Also, in the PA poll, it had 20% of conservatives voting for Bush. Kerry's leading 54-36 among Independents. These are all very good things IMO.