I'll say it one more time; Kerry in a Landslide.

[benburch]

As I told you all, the lies are NOT working this time. The get people to be doubtful for a few days, but they come back to the idea they know is right; NO MORE BUSH.

This bounce was the best they could do with SBVT, their convention, 9/11... Pitiful. We will have over 300 EVs.

John Kerry will be a great President, and we need to start thinking about how we're going to keep his toes to the fire once he's in office, because all Presidents get distracted and need to be reminded about what their "base" needs.

[are_we_united_yet]

1. I wagered

to someone on this board three rounds if Kerry didn't win by a landslide.

[Moonbeam_Starlight]

2. I'll give you a "hear, hear."

on edit, have you seen this?

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

It's from today.

[txdude10]

3. Why I am not in the Panic Mode as others on DU

Although I usually don't post on DU because of the nature of my job, I feel concerned enough this time to do it. I have noticed many DU members freeking out over polls giving Bush a sizeable lead. I am not going to say you shouldn't pay attention to polls, my advise is pay attention to the states. I believe that Kerry, as of today, is assured of 225 electoral college votes: Here's the basis for my statement:

CA - 55
WA - 11
OR - 7
NM - 5
MN - 10
IA - 7
IL - 21
MI - 17
DC - 3
MD - 10
NY - 31
NJ - 15
DE - 3
CT - 7
MA - 12
RI - 4
VT - 3
ME - 4

Minnesota is the "iffy" here, but I believe strongly that MN is going for Kerry.

That leaves these 5 states for Kerry to carry to have or go over 270:

NV - 5
CO - 9
WI - 10
PA - 21
NH - 4

If Kerry wins these five states, he wins the presidency. And currently, state polls show that he is either tied or slight in the lead in these states. Of course, all of this is predicated on the vote being counted accurately.

So, folks, chill out and let's hope Kerry does well in these last five states.

[Moonbeam_Starlight]

5. See my post right above yours for today's electoral prediction eom

[sonicx]

4. i agree. i think the polls are more inaccurate than in 2000. nt.

[DarthDem]

7. For What It's Worth

I agree. They are.

[Fed Up]

6. Man that would be so great.

To use some imagery, the thought of waking up and checking out the headlines for the next four years, without having a large fist come out of the computer screen and sock me in the jaw, will be wonderful.

Hope ur right Ben. I just wish today was Nov. 1 so we can stop the anticipation.

[Sperk]

8. and i'll say it one more time......diebold

I dont mean to be a party pooper but I just cant get past these machines...why would the repugs hold up paper trail legislation? This evil gang will not give up power without a revolution. :-(

[are_we_united_yet]

13. While I'm personally somewhat concerned about the machines...

my concern is somewhat tempered as I've heard a few Democratic political operatives (I can't recall who but they pretty high in the food chain) say they are less concerned about voter fraud from the machines and more conerned about more traditional election year shenanigans (sp?).

Probably doesn't make you feel a hell of a lot better but that is what I've heard from the Dems.

[gumby]

9. Kerry in a Landslide /

[jimshoes]

10. I love telling my repub brother in law

it's going to be Kerry in a landslide, he immediately gets his panties in a twist quoting polls and rush limboil and whatnot. I just smile at him and tell him watch and see. I love seeing him get hyper.

[WillyT]

11. I'm Right There With Ya Ben !!! - Kerry In A Landslide !!!

:yourock:

[pacalo]

12. I've said it here & I'll say it again...

My reliable female intuition tells me that Kerry will win by a landslide. :)

[demothinker]

14. I don't see landslide

but I do believe that it won't be as close as the polls indicate because of the new voter registration this time around.

[Robbien]

15. President John Kerry

Has a nice ring to it.

Loser GWB, rings out even prettier.

[papau]

16. Wash Post disagrees

Are only 10 states still "competitive states" (as suggested by Wash Post)


Does DU agree with Dan Balz of the Washington Post that only 10 states are still "competitive states"

Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada, New Mexico, West Virginia and New Hampshire, with West Virginia and Nevada major, major challenges for Kerry - more so than the other 8.

Are the other 11 "battleground states" really leaning too far to be called "competitive, because - per Baltz- we have -7 Leaning toward Bush which are: Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina and Virginia - with 4 leaning toward Kerry which are: Maine, Michigan, Oregon and Washington.

And of the 10 that are still "competitive", the Bush team will be putting major money to win into Minnesota, Iowa and Wisconsin, while they view Pennsylvania and Wisconsin as states they can make Kerry work very hard to defend, and see West Virginia and Nevada as quite likely to go their way.

Is it really down to a huge effort to fight the above battle, while the winner of 2 out 3 of Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio wins the election?

[cheshire]

17. If you like polls, here's another that is running back up toward Kerry

http://www.dcpollingreport.com/polls04.htm
This a poll that was up for moron for awhile after RNC.

[redstateblues]

18. Define Landslide Please