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but actually, we were very optimistic leading into it. To our regret, in most cases -- Democrats were drubbed in '02. You have to combine that with the fact that Paul Wellstone's plane went down shortly before the election, and that really zapped the dynamics around here.
I think you make a good point, though -- that doom and gloom/polyanna bipolar behavior did exist, but there weren't as many people participating back then, and it was right after Wellstone died, too, which put a bit of a damper on both emotions.
I think the combination of the surprise of losing our scant majority in the Senate and Wellstone dying was very painful, and yet most of us learned not to be either too optimistic or pessimistic about results, especially polling.
There may be a sort of 'you weren't here when Wellstone died, you don't know sad,' factor working here, too. And while I feel that way, I also understand the Chicken Little people who rise and fall with every poll.
It's a tough call whether we'll win this one or not, I freely admit that. I think it's too close to call in most of the states Kerry really needs that may go either way, and that things could either improve or go down the toilet between now and then. The only real alternative to becoming bipolar yourself is either to invest your emotional energy and time in the campaign (or your money, if not the other things), take frequent breaks from DU, polls and the TV news, or just realize that when somebody posts a 'sky is falling' post there are going to be a certain number of people who are going to agree and an equal or greater number who are going to say 'oh, grow up -- it's always like this!'
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