Electoral Vote Predictions.

[praxiz]

I know there are a few sites out there with EV stats, based on polls.

You all probably know http://www.electoral-vote.com/ , but are there any others out there, who maybe use different pollingnumbers?

[EmmanuelGoldstein]

1. Here is One

http://www.electionprojection.com/elections2004.html

[Dawgs]

7. Not buying this site (electionprojection.com)...

Two of the main polls they use are Time and Newsweek.

They also have a main link that explains "Twenty Reasons Why Bush Will Win".

[Barad Simith]

2. another

http://www.mydd.com/popup.html

[lcooksey]

3. Race 2004

http://www.race2004.net/

[Lefty Pragmatist]

4. Rasmussen

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Electoral%20College%20Projection.htm

[phillybri]

5. Federal Review

http://www.federalreview.com/compositepoll.htm

A friend of mine runs this. He's a Repub, but he's fair...

[jmknapp]

6. DIY Electoral Vote Predictor

http://rncmoblog.com/ev2004

Current odds of Kerry win: 70%. One can change the assumptions on that page and recalculate.

Here's a pessimistic scenario:

Battleground states won:

Kerry: IA ME MI MN NH NM OR PA WI
Bush: AR AZ CO FL MO NV OH TN VA WV

Bush wins 274-264

So Kerry would have to flip one of those Bush states. Like AR would do it.