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Edited on Wed Sep-15-04 12:42 AM by liberalpragmatist
WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 3, 2004 (NYT, Late Edition)
Senator John Forbes Kerry of Massachusetts defeated President George W. Bush last night in an unexpectedly large victory. At presstime, with 98% of precincts reporting, Sen. Kerry led the President in the popular vote by a decisive 52% to 47% margin, translating to a nearly 6 million vote lead over the President. With many oversease ballots still being counted, the Democratic ticket has the support of 62,563,137 voters, whilst the Republican ticket garnered 56,547,451 votes. Senator Kerry's lead in the electoral college appears to be insurmountable. With final results in Colorado, Nevada, and Oregon still pending, Senator Kerry and his running mate, Sen. John Edwards (D-N.C.) had the support of 328 electors, with President Bush and Vice President Cheney garnering the support of only 198.
Although Senator Kerry's five-point margin of victory may appear small by historic standards, it is doubtless an achievement for the Democratic ticket - an achievement which few political analysts would have predicted one month ago. Mr. Kerry's popular vote margin is the same margin of victory that Bill Clinton enjoyed over George H.W. Bush in 1992 and is ten times the margin of Al Gore's popular vote victory over George W. Bush four years ago. Perhaps more encouragingly for the Democratic Party, Mr. Kerry is the first Democratic candidate since Jimmy Carter in 1976 to win a majority of the popular vote.
In a closely-contested race, the Kerry-Edwards ticket managed to rack up big victories in solidly Democratic states and carried a number of large, important swing states. Of the closely-contested states this season, Mr. Kerry won Florida, Missouri, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, New Hampshire, and, in a major upset, Virginia. The ticket narrowly failed to carry Tennessee or Sen. Edwards' home state of North Carolina, although the margin in both states was less than 2%. The Democratic ticket also narrowly failed to win West Virginia, Arkansas, and Arizona.
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UPDATE: Left unsaid in this is that Kerry's margin of victory climbs to 53-46 once all the overseas votes are counted. Those overseas votes give Kerry a narrow victory in North Carolina. Kerry ends up carrying both Oregon and Nevada, plus 5 of Colorado's votes, for a 360 vote electoral-college victory.
Oh, and also, Democrats win Mo. Governorship (Claire McCaskill). Take back Senate with victories in Alaska (+1), Illinois (+1), Oklahoma (+1), Colorado (+1), Pennsylvania (+1), and Missouri (+1). They hold seats in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, and Louisiana, but *lose* Georgia. :eyes:
And yes, the House goes narrowly Democratic.
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