NY-Gov: Another Day, Another Bad Poll

[ccharles000]

Siena College (PDF) (4/13-15, registered voters, March 2009 in parens):

David Paterson (D-inc): 11 (17)
Andrew Cuomo (D): 64 (67)
Tom Suozzi (D): 8
Undecided: 17 (17)
(MoE: ±_._%)
David Paterson (D-inc): 29 (33)
Rudy Giuliani (R): 56 (56)
Undecided: 15 (11)

Andrew Cuomo (D): 53 (51)
Rudy Giuliani (R): 39 (41)
Undecided: 8 (9)
(MoE: ±3.8%)

After Siena's last poll, you might have thought David Paterson had hit rock bottom. Not so. With numbers like these, it would almost be political malpractice if Andrew Cuomo didn't get into the race - he'll never have a better shot. It would also be mostly suicidal for Paterson to stay in, but he hasn't given any indication that he plans to bail - indeed, he even hired campaign staff.

And one of those hires, pollster Stan Greenberg, probably already told Paterson something which Siena now tells us: Gay marriage is popular in New York State. In fact, it's supported by a 53-39 margin (and 59-35 among Dems). Those numbers likely explain why Paterson has been pushing this issue hard of late, even though same-sex marriage legislation has little chance of passing the state Senate. It also helps to change the conversation away from the economy and, well, everything else.

(From the Anecdotal Evidence from Queens Dept., I was lucky enough to attend the Mets' home opener at their new stadium a week ago. A few "distinguished" guests were introduced over the PA. I had never heard boos as loud as those I heard for Paterson - except until they announced Shelly Silver, who even I booed. Mayor Mike, incidentally, was half booed, half cheered.)

Oddly enough, despite the strong pro-gay marriage numbers, Rudy Giuliani (who I still don't think will run) has decided to aim his first shot across the bow... against gay marriage:


"This will create a grass-roots movement. This is the kind of issue that, in many ways, is somewhat beyond politics," said Giuliani, a two-term mayor who unsuccessfully sought the GOP presidential nomination last year.
"I think gay marriage will obviously be an issue for any Republican next year because Republicans are either in favor of the position I'm in favor of, civil unions, or in many cases Republicans don't even favor civil unions," he continued.

Who even knows who Giuliani is listening to these days. His strategy during the GOP presidential primary was so insane and non-viable that I'm not surprised to see him spouting nonsense. I almost hope he does run, in fact. I'd love to see him get his ass whooped.

http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4811/nygov-another-day-another-bad-poll

[Danger Mouse]

1. I DO NOT WANT THAT FUCKWIT GHOUL AS MY GOVERNOR.

Bleah.
Fuck that.

[PBS Poll-435]

2. Tell us how you really feel...

;-)


Did you see this insanity from Paterson?

http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/dailypolitics/2009/04/patersons-sight-gag.html


It is like he is TRYING to drive his poll numbers down.

[Danger Mouse]

3. I hope at this point he gets knocked out in a primary...

for everyone's sake. Anything to keep the Ghoul away from Albany.

[sabbat hunter]

4. I hope that

Patterson decides not to run for a full term as Governor of NYS. Personally I would prefer Suozzi, but would support anyone but Patterson at this point.

[PBS Poll-435]

5. I think you are right

But, in the meantime...

I'll trade ya Governors.

[Drunken Irishman]

7. Wow, he's embarrassing.

[sabbat hunter]

6. the entirety of the Albany

legislature needs to go, Silver, the entire Assembly, Smith and the Senate, all gone. They cannot fucking get the MTA bailout passed, in fact they are not even trying it seems to fix it.