Earlybird Ratings Of 2010 Senate Races: "EXPECTED GOP LOSSES (1): Missouri"

[usregimechange]

Having said that, here's a chart of all 36 Senate seats up in 2010:

SAFE DEMOCRATIC (11): Arkansas (Blanche Lincoln), California (Barbara Boxer), Hawaii (Daniel Inouye), Indiana (Evan Bayh), Maryland (Barbara Mikulski), New York (Charles Schumer), North Dakota (Byron Dorgan), Oregon (Ron Wyden), Vermont (Patrick Leahy), Washington (Patty Murray), Wisconsin (Russ Feingold).

DEMOCRAT FAVORED: (4) Colorado (Michael Bennet), Nevada (Harry Reid), New York special (Kirsten Gillibrand), Pennsylvania (Arlen Specter).

TOSSUP DEM SEATS (3): Connecticut (Chris Dodd), Delaware special (open seat -- Ted Kaufman will not run), Illinois (Roland Burris).

EXPECTED DEM LOSSES (0): None at the moment.

EXPECTED GOP LOSSES (1): Missouri (open seat -- Kit Bond retiring).

TOSSUP GOP SEATS (3): Kentucky (Jim Bunning), New Hampshire (open seat -- Judd Gregg retiring), Ohio (open seat -- George Voinovich retiring).

REPUBLICAN FAVORED (3): Florida (open seat -- Mel Martinez retiring), Louisiana (David Vitter), North Carolina (Richard Burr).

SAFE REPUBLICAN (11): Alabama (Richard Shelby), Alaska (Lisa Murkowski), Arizona (John McCain), Georgia (Johnny Isakson), Idaho (Mike Crapo), Iowa (Charles Grassley), Kansas (open seat -- Sam Brownback retiring), Oklahoma (Tom Coburn), South Carolina (Jim DeMint), South Dakota (John Thune), Utah (Bob Bennett).

http://www.npr.org/blogs/politicaljunkie/2009/06/earlybird_ratings_of_2010_sena.html


Support MO's next Senator:
http://robincarnahan.com/

[tekisui]

1. I will predict now that Burr will move into the toss-up or expected loss

by election day. And, he will lose.

[NC_Nurse]

2. Please let it be so. He is such a loser!

[w4rma]

3. The Kansas Senate seat should be ours. Unfortunately our best shot was appointed to the cabinet.(nt)

[bluestateguy]

4. 2010?

No! Go away! Shoo!! Get out of here!!! I don't want to think about it!

We just got over a grueling 2 year campaign.

We need to go back to the olden days when campaigns did not even start until the Labor Day before the election.

[Arkana]

9. Welcome to the 21st century--be thankful you're not a professional

political operative.

[quiller4]

5. I've seen New Hampshire listed as a likely D pick up in other reports. n/t

[Arkana]

12. Our likeliest pickups lie in NH, NC, and MO.

Potential losses in IL (if the nominee is Burris...otherwise, you'll see Obama campaign personally for the nominee), DE (apparently, Mike Castle's pretty popular, and if he runs...), and CT (Dodd...goddamnit).

[Arkana]

6. Once we get a nominee in Illinois (other than Burris), can we move that to "Safe"?

Also, will Lunsford or Beshear run for Bunning's seat in KY?

What's the chance that Mike Castle will poach Biden's old seat in Delaware? That would be embarrassing.

And when did Blanche Lincoln's seat move to "Safe"? I thought she was under a lot of heat?

[Occam Bandage]

7. Yes. The only reason IL isn't safe is the concern that

Burris might pull off a win in a split multi-way primary.

[Arkana]

8. The guy has like eight dollars for reelection

and no significantly-sized fundraising outfit will touch him he's so radioactive.

You can bet the White House won't go near him, either.

[Occam Bandage]

10. I agree. nt

[Arkana]

13. How many other candidates are there for Obama's old seat?

I know of only one--Giannoulias...but I heard rumblings about Jan Schakowsky. Madigan's running for governor, so she's not gonna do it.

[Clio the Leo]

11. Love that "None at the Moment" NT

[ShadowLiberal]

14. We might be in trouble in Delaware, it looks like Castle is going to run there

Castle is about the only republican in the entire state who could be a threat to us statewide. He's been elected governor twice before, and I think to like 9 terms in the house. Rumors are that he's seriously considering a senate run, and leaning that way. To Castle, at the age of 70, this is like a once in a lifetime chance for him to be a senator.

[usregimechange]

15. What about baby Biden?

[PresidentObama]

16. I'm so pumped for Roy Blunt to lose. He's been my Congressman for years, and I want his retirement.

Go Robin, go!!

[depakid]

17. Depending on how much and how often Democrats in the Senate sell everyone out

I wouldn't be surprised at all to see Democrats at -2 or -3.

And when it come right down to it, when you scan the above list- there are about 4 or 5 Democrats that, depending on the issue are corrupt to the core and have been no better than Republicans.

[MasonJar]

18. I'm praying that Bunning runs in Kentucky. Unless the dems get into

a very mean-spirited primary fight, the dem will defeat Bunning. He almost lost last time to Mongiardo, when the latter began with 25% name recognition.