Latest Poll: Kerry Will Win

[Jeff in Cincinnati]

Now this poll is not necessarily scientific and the sample is only from a single voter, but it's an interesting voter. Here's why:

Background: I'm the Ward Chairman for Springfield Township in suburban Hamilton County (Cincinnati), and the Precinct Executive for my neighborhood. It's sucky kind of job, being Precinct Executive, because my precinct is one of the most heavily Republican ones in the Township. It typically goes 70% Republican.

Gene, my neighbor across the street is a retiree, a veteran, fabulously wealthy, and a life-long Republican. If I were betting, I'd say that nobody with the possible exception of Barbara Bush is more likely to vote for George W. this fall.

So yesterday afternoon, my wife is puttering around in the yard when Gene comes over. He jerks a thumb over his shoulder at the Kerry/Edwards yard sign by our driveway and says, "You're kind of going against the neighborhood, aren't you?" My wife, always the cheerful partisan, and far less likely to piss off the neighbors than I am, responds airily, "Well, you know, somebody's got to be in the opposition."

That's when Gene says, "Well, I've pretty much decided to vote for Kerry, too. We've lost too many jobs and too many kids are getting killed in Iraq." At the point my wife is using her garden trowel to scoop her jaw up off the front lawn.

"I've pretty decided that I'd vote for anybody but Bush," my wife replies, wondering if she's fallen down the rabbit hole to some Alice-in-Wonderland alternative reality.

"Me too," Gene says. "Anybody but him."

My friends, Bush is toast.

[LiberalVoice]

1. Great Post!

I have had several encounters with life long repugs who will be voting ABB in Nov.

[Career Prole]

2. Tip o' the hat to Gene...a vanishing breed. A smart republican. n/t

[slor]

3. Good news!

Were you at the Edwards rally in Bond Hill? It was great! It is funny how the news outlets are suffering a complete disconnect on *. Most repubs I know, are not voting or going with Kerry.

[Jeff in Cincinnati]

4. Where's John Edwards?

He's in Cincinnati kicking ass! Edwards is clearly having the time of his life in this campaign -- you can tell that he enjoys what he's doing, and the crowd responded in kind.

I think that Edwards is the ticket's "stealth bomber" candidate. He comes into town, fires up the faithful, and leaves without the media ever knowing he was there.

Edit: Yeah, I was there!

[sendero]

8. Edwards...

... was not my VP favorite, but I'm liking him more and more. His message and the delivery are great!

[booksenkatz]

5. I have lots of such anecdotal evidence myself

And yet where is the anecdotal evidence of all the former Gore voters who are going to vote for Bush? Yesterday's newspaper said that Bush is cutting into Kerry's base. Where? Who? Evidence? They've been saying that most independents are going for Kerry, so we are supposed to believe that there's a big wave of former Gore voters who are crossing over this time to support the Repubs...?

Of course, yesterday's newspaper is now at the bottom of my cockatiel's cage, that's about all it's worth these days.

[Bullshot]

7. It's all part of a master plan. (Tin foil hat in place)

The polls are cooked, showing Bush is ahead. Electronic voting booths with no paper trail will be used in many places across the country. Votes will be manipulated in these places. If the election results in a Bush victory, the pundits can point back to these manipulated polls and say that Bush had been leading all along. (Tin foil hat off.)

I'm like you. I've talked to people who worked at polling places last spring and they all said that their predominantly-Republican precinct had a marked increase in people voting as Democrats.

Around where I live, if you try to explain your opposition to Bush by explaining the failed economy, the failed war in Iraq, AWOL, Bush's business failings, Halliburton, etc., you get dismissed as some sort of dufus who's been brainwashed by that "liberal" media. So, I just deep my mouth shut. I have a feeling there are many others who've faced similar situations and just lay low, too.

It's like there's an undercurrent going on here.

[Jeff in Cincinnati]

9. I may have mentioned this elsewhere...

But a Democratic ward worker reported at a meeting last week about the Harvest Home Parade through Cheviot -- hardcore Republican neighborhood where Steve Chabot (R-Asshole) his his campaign headquarters. He lives around there somewhere, too. It's the west side of Cincinnati.

Republican Greg Hartman is running unapposed for Clerk of Courts, so his parade contingent was mostly dressed in Bush-Cheney t-shirts and waving Bush-Cheney placards. Our ward worker, who lives near the end of the parade route, saw the Hartman people coming and saw a large cluster of people at the nearest intersection. So she expected to hear a hearty cheer as they passed by.

Near-silence. She couldn't believe it. She later talked to a guy from the local public access channel, which was broadcasting the parade live, and he confirmed a similar reaction near the beginning of the parade route. The crowd was actually noticeably quieter as this group passed by.

Totally non-scientific. But something is happening out there.

Keept he faith...

[cthrumatrix]

6. 100% agree....two problems: rigged polls & computer voting