Then NJ is a Kerry lock.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x11375.xmlPolling Results
September 21, 2004 - Terrorism Fear Lifts Bush To Dead Heat In New Jersey, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Say Iraq War Is Wrong And Economy Is Bad
President George W. Bush and Democratic challenger John Kerry are locked in a 48 - 48 percent tie among New Jersey likely voters, including undecided voters leaning toward a candidate, with 2 percent for independent candidate Ralph Nader, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
Among registered voters, Sen. Kerry is ahead 47 - 43 percent. This compares to a 49 - 39 percent Kerry lead among registered voters, with 4 percent for Nader, in an August 25 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
New Jersey registered voters give President Bush a negative 45 - 53 percent approval rating, little changed from prior polls.
While 81 percent of Bush backers say they are voting more for the President, 61 percent of Kerry backers say they are voting more against Bush.
By a 55 - 40 percent margin, New Jersey voters say it was wrong for the United States to go to war in Iraq, also virtually unchanged from previous polls.