Read Rudy Teixeira regarding Gallup; you will feel a helluva lot better!

[flpoljunkie]

http://www.emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising/archives/000686.php

Ending excerpt:

But then there's this: the Gallup internals show Kerry with a 7 point lead among independent RVs. Huh? Kerry's losing by 8 points overall, yet leading among indenpedents by 7. How is that possible? Only if there are substantially more Republicans than Democrats in the sample.

That suggests that reweighting the sample to reflect the 2000 exit poll distribution (39D/35R/26I) would give a different result. It does: the race then becomes dead-even, instead of an 8 point Bush lead. (Note: Steve Soto of The Left Coaster got Gallup to give him their party ID distributions for this poll and confirms a 5 point Republican party ID advantage in their RV sample.)

One final note: I mentioned the Pew Research Center poll had the race dead-even just like the reweighted Gallup data. And what was Pew's party ID distribution in their RV sample? You guessed it: a 4 point lead (37-33) for the Democrats, just like in the 2000 exits.

I think we've finally found out how to make these polls get along!

Posted by Ruy Teixeira at 07:22 PM

[buycitgo]

1. good luck

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x832381