Today's Rasmussen poll: Bush leads by exactly 4 points

[kstewart33]

49.2 to Kerry's 45.2

[WI_DEM]

1. narrowed a bit from yesterday

[GreenArrow]

2. horse

shit.

[David Dunham]

3. I think Rove got to Rasmussen

[yardwork]

4. What's the margin of error?

Four points sounds like it is within a margin of error, and that's assuming that the model they used captured an accurate representative sample of American voters.

Please stop taking these polls so seriously. I blip up or down each day is meaningless. Truly meaningless.

[Teaser]

5. So K's numbers were pretty good overnight.

After 2 days of 7 point Bush leads.

It's strange, though, the GOP still inched up in the Generic Congressional Ballot question.

Which seems to indicate a Republican heavy sample still went strongly for Kerry. Weird.

[papau]

6. I saw that and agree - sample is curious. - Any new State polls?

Election 2004

Date Bush Kerry
Today 49.2 45.2
Sept 16 49.3 44.7
Sept 15 47.3 46.4
Sept 14 47.1 46.5
Sept 13 47.2 46.4

Election 2004 9/17

Presidential Ballot

Bush 49.2%
Kerry 45.2%
Other 2.4%
Not Sure 3.2%

Bush Job Approval

Date Approve Disapprove
Today 53.3 45.8
Sept 16 53.4 45.8
Sept 15 51.8 47.6
Sept 14 51.9 47.8
Sept 13 51.3 48.4

9/06/04 RR Electoral College
2004 Projected 2000 Final Results
Bush Kerry Tossup Bush Gore Bush Gore
Today - Nat'l 213 175 150 48% 48% 271 266
Alabama 9 56% 42% 9
Alaska 3 59% 28% 3
Arizona 10 51% 45% 8
Arkansas 6 51% 46% 6
California 55 42% 53% 54
Colorado 9 51% 42% 8
Connecticut 7 38% 56% 8
Delaware 3 42% 55% 3
D. C. 3 9% 85% 2
Florida 27 49% 49% 25
Georgia 15 55% 43% 13
Hawaii 4 37% 56% 4
Idaho 4 67% 28% 4
Illinois 21 43% 55% 22
Indiana 11 57% 41% 12
Iowa 7 48% 49% 7
Kansas 6 58% 37% 6
Kentucky 8 57% 41% 8
Louisiana 9 53% 45% 9
Maine 4 44% 49% 4
Maryland 10 40% 57% 10
Massachusetts 12 33% 60% 12
Michigan 17 46% 51% 18
Minnesota 10 46% 48% 10
Mississippi 6 58% 41% 7
Missouri 11 50% 47% 11
Montana 3 58% 33% 3
Nebraska 5 62% 33% 5
Nevada 5 50% 46% 4
New Hampshire 4 48% 47% 4
New Jersey 15 40% 56% 15
New Mexico 5 48% 48% 5
New York 31 35% 60% 33
North Carolina 15 56% 43% 14
North Dakota 3 61% 33% 3
Ohio 20 50% 46% 21
Oklahoma 7 60% 38% 8
Oregon 7 47% 47% 7
Pennsylvania 21 46% 51% 23
Rhode Island 4 32% 61% 4
South Carolina 8 57% 41% 8
South Dakota 3 60% 38% 3
Tennessee 11 51% 47% 11
Texas 34 59% 38% 32
Utah 5 67% 26% 5
Vermont 3 41% 51% 3
Virginia 13 52% 44% 13
Washington 11 45% 50% 11
West Virginia 5 52% 46% 5
Wisconsin 10 48% 48% 11
Wyoming 3 69% 28% 3