More Good poll news - SC Senate race

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for the Hollings seat.

It won't surprise anyone that awol is leading Kerry in SC (you wave a flag and a Bible at half the people in this state and they'll follow you right off a cliff). But the Senate race is a different story.

Among likely voters, Jim DeMint leads Inez by only 3% - within moe. It was just last week or so that a different poll showed DeMint ahead by 11% among the same group.

Inez has some really hard-hitting ads out now, painting DeMint as someone with a dangerous tax-increase plan. Great commercial that has to be hurting DeMint, which would explain her rise in the polls.

We may just keep the SC seat after all.

:D

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New Poll Says It's A Race to the Finish
DeMint on Defensive Over 23% Sales Tax

COLUMBIA, S.C. – A new poll by the Global Strategy Group shows the U.S. Senate contest between Inez Tenenbaum and Jim DeMint is a race to the finish, with DeMint currently leading Tenenbaum 44% - 41% among likely voters, and with 15% undecided. While the margin in the U.S. Senate race is 3%, the margin in the presidential race in South Carolina is 16%, with Bush currently leading Kerry 54% - 38%.


Current Vote Preference (Including Leaners)


Likely Voters

Jim DeMint
44%

Inez Tenenbaum
41%

Undecided
14%

Survey conducted by Harrison Hickman of Global Strategy Group. 600 registered voters who say they will probably or definitely vote on November 2. Telephone interviews conducted September 7-9, 2004. Margin of error +/- 4%.

“This survey shows that with less than fifty days until the election, we are locked in a tight contest,” said Tenenbaum campaign manager Frank Holleman. “The close margin of this poll suggests that Jim DeMint’s proposal for a 23% federal sales tax represents a serious vulnerability for his campaign.”

DeMint has sponsored legislation in Congress (H.R. 25) to scrap the tax code and adopt a 23% federal sales tax on almost everything you buy, and this poll comes on the heels of three sustained weeks of the sales tax issue being at the forefront of the campaign debate. On the last day the survey was being conducted, Tenenbaum began airing new TV and radio ads comparing her support for middle class tax cuts to DeMint’s 23% mega-tax on the middle class that will raise taxes on 95% of South Carolinians.

Just three days after launching a new ad defending his 23% sales tax plan, on Sunday DeMint took the remarkable step of launching another new ad on the issue -- a sign that Tenenbaum has DeMint on the ropes over his sales tax plan. Notably, DeMint’s new ad doesn’t deny his support for a 23% federal sales tax.

http://www.inez2004.com/portal/index.php?module=article&view=167

(link to full poll at site)
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[whistle]

1. I just heard an interview on MSNBC with a person from......

...Pew Research, who showed that the Bush convention bounce is all but gone. I still don't have a link, but from memory two polls were conducted one immediately after the RNC (09/04) showing Bush ahead 52% to Kerry 44%. The latest Pew poll just out (09/11) shows Bush 46% and Kerry 46%. These are polls of 1,000 registered voters so the error is +/- 3.0%. However, when asked how Bush and Kerry stood among likely voters, the Pew rep said that Bush has a slight lead of 1% over Kerry, which he admits is not statistically significant. So with just under 8 weeks to go, a lot can happen and my money is on the fact that Bush has lots to answer for and Kerry's credibility with voters just keeps rising.:kick:

[madfloridian]

2. Great news. I love your statement......

"you wave a flag and a Bible at half the people in this state and they'll follow you right off a cliff"

yeh, I know folks like that...we have a lot of them here. :hi:

[Lex]

3. NC will keep Edwards' old Senate seat Dem too!

Erskine Bowles is up by 10 points against the Repub for Edwards' former Senate seat.

[fujiyama]

4. That would be so great

if we keep that senate seat.

If we keep that and win most of the other competetive seats, dems may actually take back the senate.

First thing I'd do though is NOT have Daschle be minority leader again. I do hope he keeps his seat. It's absolutely vital in order to take back the senate.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

5. We need this seat and I support Inez all the way!!!

[NinetySix]

6. I'll be voting for Tennenbaum...

...and it won't be the first time, either! She's an excellent Superintendent of Schools, and I hope she wins, because I believe she'd make an excellent addition to the Senate. She's always been a popular figure in SC to begin with, and it will be nice to see her gain some national exposure and shine some positive light on SC to counteract 50 years of the shadow of Strom Thurmond.