Bush's Convention Bounce Vanishes as Race Tightens

[Nicholas_J]

Kerry and Bush almost equal among likely voters, as slender majority believes
Bush does not deserve to be re-elected

ROCHESTER, N.Y., Sept. 16 /PRNewswire/ -- The latest Harris Poll finds
that Senator John Kerry and President George W. Bush are now enjoying almost
equal levels of support. Immediately after the Republican convention in New
York, several polls showed President Bush jumping ahead of Senator Kerry with
a clear lead of between six and 11 percentage points. This "convention bounce"
has now disappeared.
These are some of the results of a nationwide poll of 1,018 U.S. adults
surveyed by telephone by Harris Interactive(R) between September 9 and 13,
2004. It seems that the short-term effects of the Republican convention have
worn off. The poll shows Senator Kerry leading 48 percent to 47 percent among
likely voters. Obviously, this small lead is well within the possible sampling
error of the survey (however, it would be incorrect to label even a one-point
lead, as some media have done in the past, a "statistical dead heat").
One reason that President Bush is no longer ahead is that a slender 51
percent to 45 percent majority does not believe that he deserves to be re-
elected.


http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=109&STORY=/www/story/09-16-2004/0002251879&EDATE=

[XanaDUer]

1. Kick!

:kick:

[girl gone mad]

2. Good news for us.

It's very difficult to win people back over once they've turned against you.

In management courses, they teach you not to start out being too friendly to your underlings, it's more effective to be firm at first and let them warm up to you over time.

I think that has to do with why Bush can never tell people the truth about our situation in Iraq or the economy. He would risk losing the trust he has, which is based on him being a nice, regular guy, rather than being respected as a leader.

[Nicholas_J]

3. At least a dozen articles today

Have declared the bounce over, and that the race is neck and neck again.

Kerry's mentioning the Osama word has hit Republicans hard. If you saw Charlie Rose tonight Ken Mehlman looked like he swollowed a turd when they discussed Kerry's speech at to the Nationa Guard with Kerry accusing BUsh of letting Bin Laden escape. All Kerry has to to is hammer that point over and over agin over the next month and it will have some effect on those who beleive is doing a good job on terrorism.