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Only one poll has proven itself over time (HARRIS)

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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-24-04 07:59 AM
Original message
Only one poll has proven itself over time (HARRIS)
Edited on Fri Sep-24-04 08:02 AM by demdem
If you are getting upset about polls, please look at the only poll you will need to see if you want accuracy and that is the Harris poll along with the short history of Zogby. Harris latest poll has Kerry leading 48-47. The results from the last three elections are remarkable when you compare them to the actual final results. So forget Gallup, forget Ipsod/Reid, forget CBS, forget NBC, forget ABC, Forget ARG, forget Survey USA, Harris is the poll of accuracy.

2000
Election Result 48% 48% 3%
Harris Interactive 47% 47% 4%
Zogby 48% 46% 5%

1996
Election Result 49% 41% 8%
Harris 51% 39% 9%
Zogby/Reuters 49% 41% 8% (dead on)

1992
Election Result 43% 37% 19%
Harris 44% 38% 17%
No Zogby

http://www.ncpp.org/1936-2000.htm
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cthrumatrix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-24-04 08:07 AM
Response to Original message
1. we need to BOMB news organization to use this poll based on history
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Bush was AWOL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-24-04 08:12 AM
Response to Original message
2. Do you have the results of some of the other major polls from
1992, 96 and 2000?
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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-24-04 10:57 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. Link provided
above
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flpoljunkie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-24-04 08:33 AM
Response to Original message
3. Use link below to become a member of the Harris online poll.
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Demi_Babe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-24-04 11:31 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. please take that weekly poll at Harris
it is one question


http://www.harrispollonline.com/


Weekly Quick Poll Results:
As the third anniversary of the 9/11 attacks passes, what is your opinion of Osama bin-Laden and the failure to capture him thus far?

The U.S. is finding it more difficult than expected to capture bin-Laden because it has underestimated the support he still has within much of the Islamic community.
(19.2 %) or 611 votes

The Bush administration has wasted time and resources in Iraq instead of focusing on the people who were actually responsible for 9/11.
(57.7 %) or 1835 votes

He has been sufficiently weakened by U.S. actions and can be dealt with at a later date.
(18.5 %) or 588 votes


I’m not sure.
(4.5 %) or 144 votes
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flpoljunkie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-24-04 12:16 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. Thanks for that. I did, but forgot to mention.
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City Lights Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-24-04 12:21 PM
Response to Reply #3
8. Thanks for the link.
I just signed up.
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Tweed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-24-04 12:19 PM
Response to Original message
7. Send this on to all the media! Use Harris and Zogby only!
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Southern Patriot Donating Member (295 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-24-04 12:23 PM
Response to Original message
9. Do they break it down by state?
In 2000 and 2004, "it's the EV, stupid!"

Remember, Gore won the popular vote in 2000.
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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-24-04 12:26 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. He also won the electoral vote
Stupid
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Southern Patriot Donating Member (295 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-24-04 12:34 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. Chill, man. I guess I should have put a smiley face in...
I wasn't calling you "stupid." I was referring to the Carville/Begala saying: "It's the economy, stupid."

But, I really don't see the significance of leading in the popular vote since electoral vote determines who gets the power as 2000 proved.
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bush equals idiot Donating Member (757 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-24-04 12:50 PM
Response to Original message
12. Polls right now are meaningless.
I keep telling everyone, polls right now are as useless as an ashtray on a motorcycle. 75-100 million people will be watching the two face to face Thursday night. When kerry exposes Bush for the sleaze and incompetent that he is, then watch what the polls do.
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