Perhaps a re-post, but "Kerry is Doing Much Better than the Polls State"

[KansDem]

Too much "gloom and doom" on DU these days regarding polls. Perhaps this is a re-post but this article sums up the current media whore frenzy that shows Bush "leading..."

Kerry is Doing Much Better than the Polls State

September 20, 2004

By: Andrew Limburg
Independent Media TV

(excerpt)
Zogby's article stated that, ''If we look at the three last Presidential elections, the (percentage of voters per party) was 34% Democrats, 34% Republicans and 33% Independents (in 1992 with Ross Perot in the race); 39% Democrats, 34% Republicans, and 27% Independents in 1996; and 39% Democrats, 35% Republicans and 26% Independents in 2000. While party identification can indeed change within the electorate, there is no evidence anywhere to suggest that Democrats will only represent 31% of the total vote this year. In fact, other competitors have gone in the opposite direction. The Los Angeles Times released a poll in June of this year with 38% Democrats and only 25% Republicans. And Gallup's party identification figures have been all over the place."

Unfortunately, the deceitful Newsweek Poll that showed the 11-point "bounce" was because the pollsters at Newsweek polled "38% Republican, 31% Democrat and 31% Independent voters". This is very deceitful because the Republicans, in recent history have NOT come even come close to that type of voter turnout. Pollster Scott Rasmussen says the Time Magazine Poll that showed an 11- point bounce after the convention, also over sampled 38% Republicans.

What should be taken under consideration is the level of motivation that the Democrats and Republicans have. While it is true that the left is not overly thrilled about Kerry, there is great motivation not seen in a very long time, on the democratic side of the voter spectrum to remove Bush from power. This is evident from the largest protests since Vietnam both in February 2003, and the record breaking protest during the Republican Convention. It's obvious that the left is very motivated to remove Bush.

Some more evidence of the motivation from the left, was the voter turnout that broke records in many of the early Democratic primaries. The voter turnout in the primaries faded as the choice became clear, but there can be no denying how motivated the left is.

Second of all, while is true that Bush has strong support among the Republican base, there are many, while they do not intend to vote for Kerry, are finding it difficult to pull the lever for Bush. They are generally moderate Republicans and Independents who have voted Republican in the past and they are concerned about Bush's spending, the deficit, the economy and his arrogance with international affairs. Bush has alienated some long time friends, and not all Republicans are pleased about this.

http://www.independent-media.tv/item.cfm?fmedia_id=9030&fcategory_desc=Under%20Reported

Remember, Bush was "ahead" by several points leading up to Election Eve 2000, and we all know how that election came out!

[ClassWarrior]

1. Hey Dude, quit harshing my doom and gloom buzz...

:7

23.

[KansDem]

2. Hey! I said "gloom & doom" not "doom & gloom"

There's a difference! Stop inverting words in my mouth!

________
Notice that the dark side is on the right-->

[ClassWarrior]

4. Now I'm really bummin'.

23.

[Darth_Kitten]

3. thank you!

:D