Breakdown of HOW Dems are faring in YOUR state.

[Hawkeye-X]

(COLORADO)
Here's my report:

Ken Salazar has a 11 point lead over Beer Boi Pete Coors in the US Senate run in Colorado, and Coors is running negative ads, dooming him, since Colorado doesn't react very well to negative ads.

Kerry and Bush are within MOE in latest Colorado polls, but with Ken Salazar's popularity, Kerry might very well win the state.

DeGette will easily preserve her seat as 1 CD is overwhelmingly Dem (Chivas is their latest GOP sacrifical lamb for DeGette)

Udall will win the 2nd CD, also overwhelingly Dem.

Ken's brother, John Salazar will win the 3rd CD very easily. Their GOP shitheads are doing nothing.

Showdown in 4th CD: Matsunka and Musgrave. Matsunka is within MOE, and one of Matsunka's ad was a classic -- Musgrave rejecting $1,500 bonus to soldiers in Iraq for combat bonus. Also, The Bitch from Ft. Morgan is losing popularity because of her utter stupidity. Musgrave 48% - Matsunka 45%, 4.89% MOE (that was 5/21 - no further polls)

Helmet Hair Hefley will have no problems with the 5th CD (ugh)

Xenophobe Tancredo has a fistfight against Conti - Conti is actually leading in fundraising, and latest polls show that Conti is also within MOE on the 6th CD. (can't find latest polls)

Controversy swirls around Dave Thomas against Bob Beauprez in the 7th, however, the controversy is probably minor due to the fact that Thomas was not heavily involved in the Columbine shooting investigation, but rather related to something that was released in April of 2001, so it's no secret. Today's rag reported that DCCC is pulling back half of the ads on Thomas, citing to natural pullback before elections. We'll see. A Lauer Research (D) poll; conducted 7/22-26 for Dave Thomas for Congress; surveyed 443 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 8/5). Tested: Thomas (D) and Rep. Bob Beauprez (R).

General Election Matchup
Thomas 45%
Beauprez 42
Undecided 13

So here's how it looks right now: 1 Dem Senate gain, 3 leaning towards Dem gain.

So it'll be SEN:+1 DEM -1 REPUKE, CONG: +4 DEM -4 REPUKE

[coloradodem2005]

1. Hopefully all will go well.

As for the 5th. I would definitely expect Hefley to stay. He brings home the bacon for them.

[Hawkeye-X]

2. Even he's a walking ethics violation

I expect him to lose his Chairmanship this year.

[coloradodem2005]

4. Why? Because the Dems will retake the House?

That would be nice. Hopefully it can be done.

[molly]

3. Delaware

http://www.delawareonline.com/newsjournal/local/2004/09/28delpollputsminn.html

Del. poll puts Minner, Kerry on top
But many voters remain undecided

A poll of major races in Delaware released Monday shows that many state voters still have not made up their minds, even as the first presidential debate approaches this week.

The poll by West Chester University found that Gov. Ruth Ann Minner, Rep. Mike Castle and New Castle County Council President Christopher Coons are leading in their races.

And the sampling of 590 registered voters found Sen. John Kerry is ahead of President Bush, just as other recent polls have shown.

snip....

Democratic officials said the poll shows a presidential race that is fluid, with Kerry gaining momentum as people hear him and Bush focus on the issues.

[coloradodem2005]

5. Hi. I'm in Delaware.

I was channelling "Wayne's World". ;)

[DU9598]

6. Iowa

I would expect:

Kerry/Edwards to be elected about 52%-48% over Bu*h/Cheney.

Sen. Grassley to be re-elected about 60-40% over Art Small.

All congressmen (yes, all men) to be re-elected easily meaning 4 Reps. and 1 Dem

Iowa Democrats to take back the State Senate (currently 29-21 to GOP)(GOP has 18 seats up out of their 29 - Dems have few to defend and plenty to attack) and the Iowa House could be evenly divided (currently GOP by 8 seats).

Overall, will be pretty much status quo here, other than the State House battles.

[coloradodem2005]

7. Iowa seems a little schizophrenic.

1 dem senator, and 1 dem congressman. The rest of congress is Republican. Governor is a Democrat I know. Colorado could potentially change on a dime. Though, we need to get our act together for CD 7. It is the Bellweather district, I think.

[UrbScotty]

8. Michigan's okay.

We have two Democratic Senators (Levin and Stabenow) and a babe (Granholm) for a governor. Kerry is holding his own.

Our Congressional delegation, state Legislature, and State Supreme Court are solidly Republican. The Secretary of State (Land) and Attorney General (Cox) aren't bad for Republicans, nor are my Congressman (Ehlers) or State Senator (Bill Hardiman).