Poll: Kerry +1 over bush

[Teaser]

The new Investor's Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor poll has the following:


LIKELY VOTERS
KERRY 46(43)
BUSH 45(46)

KERRY 45(42)
BUSH 45(45
NADER 2(3)

REGISTERED VOTERS
KERRY 44(43)
BUSH 44(44)

(stolen from Rimjob at DKos)
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/9/28/132631/439

[JuniorPlankton]

1. that's better

(Not that I trust the polls :))

[Teaser]

2. Don't trust or distrust. Interrogate.

It's information. Interrogate it to see what it tells you.

[JuniorPlankton]

10. I am not sure how much information it is

The error margin (and I am talking about model error, not process error) is just too great.
The polls have very little explanatory power.

[Teaser]

11. Everything is information.

Even if its misleading, its still information.

[michigandem2]

3. how much media play will this get???

its probably more realistic but we will keep hearing how the gallup polls say Kerry is in big trouble

[Kierkegaard]

5. Let them think Kerry's in all kinds of trouble. We all know better.

The polls are just another morale tool to try to prevent voter turnout. From what I can gather, the spin is like the current pResident, it's a miserable failure.

People ARE going to vote this year no matter how bad the polls look. There's no complacency. People are well aware of how important this election really is.

Scrub is going to get the beating of his life on Nov 2nd...

[demnan]

4. God Damn Nader

he could still be the spoiler.

[npincus]

6. I'll say!!! That crazy fucking bastard.

[Mr_Spock]

7. Yeah, Nader could play a role in the destruction of our country

I won't be surprised if somehow Bush wins and something "mysterious" happens to Nader - not that I think it's the right thing to do or anything.

[UrbScotty]

19. He already has played such a role. (nt)

[Mr_Spock]

21. This time it would lead to a national calamity though

I'm convinced.

[cthrumatrix]

8. but but Gallup says they know who will vote...

[BillZBubb]

9. The best news here is that Bush* is below 46%.

If he doesn't have 48% totally locked up by election day, he can't win it. The undecided votes won't break his way. Assuming a 3% margin of error on this poll, Bush* is in trouble.

Nader remains a stupid piece of dog crap. Nader voters are dog crap sniffers.

[alexisfree]

12. this polls are evil

dont trust them, dont care about, polles, polls, poo-less,pinepole,bushpole...... nov 2 is kerry day!

[Stuckinthebush]

14. Polls aren't evil

pollsters, on the other hand....

:D

[flpoljunkie]

13. Check pollingreport for details. Up already.

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04gen.htm

[59millionmorons]

20. ?

Do you know what the party breakdown was?

[MikeG]

15. And IBD is a Republican Outfit

[simpsonsbuff]

16. Rumor

whether or not it is true, though why would they lie (even though they are pieces of *)on freerepublic, a dude said that a new PEW poll was gonna have bush up by 8. Just a heads up........... IDK whether this guy is full of it, but god knows
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1229472/posts

[59millionmorons]

22. I doubt it

Pew just released a poll about a week ago and it was tied.

[liberalpragmatist]

17. No way Bush is gonna win with only 44-45% backing him.

Trust me. If these numbers are accurate, then he's in deepshit and the story on Nov. 3 will be "How Did Kerry Win by 7?" (53-46 Kerry).

[belle]

18. What's interesting about this one is how many remain "undecided"

9% this week, down from 11 last week (in Kerry's favor). Will the debates make or break this, finally? We can hope.