State polls aren't much different from where they were at this time in '00

[fujiyama]

I don't know if you want to view this as good news or bad news, but I'll be optimistic and view this as not such a bad thing.

I was looking at the state polls from '00. They're on a Duke University webpage. I'll get the link later.

It seems as though Kerry is doing slightly behind Gore in MO, OH, and MN. NJ is screwy and Gore seemed to be ahead, but there were several polls showing it close than it would be days within the election. I'm pretty sure Kerry will win it by atleast 5-8 points. He's slightly ahead though in WV. He's ahead by quite a bit in OR. He's pretty much where Gore was at in IA, WI (I'm exluding the Badger 10 point lead polls because it's unlikely to be that high) and NV.

There were no FL polls available, but it's been extremely close. Unfortunately I think the state is becoming a must win for Kerry. As I figured months back, Kerry has a better chance at FL than OH. I think OH is associating its self more with its southern neighbors than its much cooler neighbor to the north (HAHA I'm from MI. I have to take a dig at OH).

Of course in '00 Dems didn't have a million organizations doing intense voter drives. Just because the registration part ends, doesn't mean the game is close to being done. My hope is that these organizations will prove invaluable in getting voters to the polls. Republicans did it well in '02.

Plus Kerry has has the opportunity to learn from Gore's mistakes at the debates. The debates will arguably matter more than the convention speech. If Kerry handles Bush well enough, Kerry could pull it off.