Latest OHIO Poll by UC researcher

[Eurobabe]

Is not good. They "say" Bushit is up by 11% points now among likely voters.

I just wrote to Rademacher to ask a few questions about his methodology (many less respondents this time, ~460, did they contact people with cell phones, etc.) -Crozet

http://www.ipr.uc.edu/PDF/OhioPoll/2004_Election_092104.pdf

[bluestateguy]

1. One bright spot

Kerry leads among blacks 92%-3%. That number will have to be sustained, and with a good turnout if Kerry is to win Ohio.

It's a 4.6% margin of error, and all other recent polls show the spread in Ohio to be 5 points or less.

[Jeff in Cincinnati]

2. IIRC, the Ohio Poll is notoriously conservative

Was used by the Enquirer for years.

[Eurobabe]

3. good to know -- we don't watch polls anyhow

the paradigm has BEEN subverted in 2004.