|
Or, fun with the Dalcoelections website.
In 2000 we had approximately 617,000 (and some change) voters in the Presidential election.
Conventional wisdom says that about 30% of the electorate votes early where they can. I don't remember where I read this, I'm sure it was somewhere on here.
The turnout for the first two days in Dallas County, plus absentee ballots, is at 64,656. Interestingly, the total went UP from Monday to Tuesday by 2,000 votes.
Assumming that the turnout stays constant at an average of 20,000 voters/day for the 12 days of early voting (which it won't, ok, but it's a guess), this nets us 240,000 voters.
Assuming that the 30% rule holds true, that would mean approximately an 800,000 person turnout, total, for Dallas County.
The only thing I can't figure out is how many voters are registered right now. As of 2000 there were 1,248,325 registered, but I know some were dropped off the rolls due to inactivity after that, and I know there were a LOT registered right up to the last minute. Assuming that the registration stays approximately the same as 2000, what with the drops and the adds, that's approximately a 64% voter turn out. 2000's turnout was 49%, so that's a big increase!
I don't know why I just figured all that out. I suppose because all the information was there and it looked interesting. Apparently, I have no life. Thank you, thank you very much. :D
|