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kansasblue (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Apr-29-05 04:01 PM Original message |
Exit poll analysis by 'Febble' on Dailykos |
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bleever (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Apr-29-05 04:09 PM Response to Original message |
1. Link, please? |
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Blue Shark (225 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Apr-29-05 04:26 PM Response to Reply #1 |
2. Link... |
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On the Road (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Apr-29-05 04:26 PM Response to Reply #1 |
3. This Goes to Mystery Pollster's Discussion |
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tommcintyre (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Apr-29-05 06:42 PM Response to Reply #3 |
4. The html version of her paper is available here. |
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FreedomAngel82 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-01-05 11:15 PM Response to Reply #3 |
13. Glad to hear it's not |
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davidgmills (651 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Apr-29-05 07:32 PM Response to Original message |
5. Her analysis his been discussed twice already on |
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tommcintyre (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Apr-29-05 07:39 PM Response to Original message |
6. False premises lead to false conclusions |
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Febble (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-01-05 02:20 PM Response to Reply #6 |
11. Yes, you can test what you can't measure |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-01-05 11:06 PM Response to Reply #11 |
12. Febble. There is a contradiction. Please explain. |
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FreedomAngel82 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-01-05 11:17 PM Response to Reply #12 |
14. What I've seen |
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kster (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 12:34 AM Response to Reply #12 |
17. Then they fight you, |
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Febble (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 09:20 AM Response to Reply #12 |
23. None of these are facts. |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 10:50 AM Response to Reply #23 |
26. You ASSUME these are responses. Bad assumption. |
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tommcintyre (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon May-02-05 11:45 PM Response to Reply #11 |
15. Your reasoning is flawed |
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Febble (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 04:18 AM Response to Reply #15 |
18. Yes you can confirm your prediction |
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Mairead (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 06:07 AM Response to Reply #18 |
19. You're doing "creation science". |
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Febble (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 08:08 AM Response to Reply #19 |
20. No I'm not |
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davidgmills (651 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 08:31 AM Response to Reply #20 |
21. Back to the counter-intuitive argument |
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Febble (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 09:09 AM Response to Reply #21 |
22. Well blame it on that if it helps. |
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Mairead (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 10:44 AM Response to Reply #22 |
25. "Kerry's vote was more greatly over-estimated" |
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Febble (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 10:53 AM Response to Reply #25 |
27. It may have been over-estimated because |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 11:00 AM Response to Reply #27 |
28. Febble, here's what MP said of Reluctant Responders - BEFORE the election |
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Mairead (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 11:15 AM Response to Reply #27 |
29. I don't think I'm the one not reading what you write :-) |
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Febble (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 11:25 AM Response to Reply #29 |
30. OK, OK |
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Mairead (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 11:47 AM Response to Reply #30 |
31. No, there's no 'ok' about it. |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 12:03 PM Response to Reply #31 |
32. Mairead, I pointed this out to Febble yesterday. |
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Febble (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 12:25 PM Response to Reply #32 |
33. Edited post |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 06:30 PM Response to Reply #33 |
37. Why should we believe you if USCV says you misstate the data in your model? |
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Febble (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 06:44 PM Response to Reply #37 |
38. I visited because I thought people were interested. |
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Mairead (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed May-04-05 06:05 AM Response to Reply #32 |
41. Yes, that's exactly what it is: framing |
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tommcintyre (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 08:07 PM Response to Reply #31 |
39. Excellent point! "WPE" assumes the error is in the polling NOT the count |
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TruthIsAll (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 04:20 PM Response to Reply #22 |
34. COULD IT JUST HAVE SIMPLY BEEN THE CASE THAT MORE PEOPLE VOTED FOR KERRY? |
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EST (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu May-05-05 01:48 AM Response to Reply #34 |
46. You have crashed against bastions composed of |
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Mairead (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 10:39 AM Response to Reply #20 |
24. You are, you know. |
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FogerRox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 05:50 PM Response to Reply #20 |
35. I have an issue here>>>> |
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Rex_Goodheart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed May-04-05 09:22 AM Response to Reply #20 |
42. Sorry, Febble, but your argument is specious... |
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mgr (616 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed May-04-05 02:11 PM Response to Reply #19 |
43. Actually it's an A |
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FogerRox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 05:56 PM Response to Reply #18 |
36. Another Febble foible |
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Febble (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed May-04-05 05:29 AM Response to Reply #36 |
40. My statement was not Argument from Authority |
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mgr (616 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed May-04-05 02:26 PM Response to Reply #40 |
44. I remember each one posted here without attribution n/t |
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tommcintyre (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Wed May-04-05 11:41 PM Response to Reply #40 |
45. Paint you as "as a crazy foreign Rove plant?" False premise AGAIN |
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johnaries (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu May-05-05 04:57 AM Response to Reply #11 |
47. The reluctant responder theory has already been disproven. |
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kansasblue (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Apr-29-05 09:08 PM Response to Original message |
7. Can someone post back on Dailykos? |
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MontageOfFreedom (633 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Apr-29-05 09:19 PM Response to Reply #7 |
8. Truth is All will do it. Its obvious from the word go... |
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sunshinekathy (177 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-01-05 12:41 PM Response to Original message |
9. US Count Votes' Rebuttal & Plea for Support of Election Data Archive |
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Febble (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun May-01-05 01:11 PM Response to Reply #9 |
10. Response rates |
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MontageOfFreedom (633 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue May-03-05 12:06 AM Response to Reply #10 |
16. I can't support this. |
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