NC-Sen: Hagan Leads by 4

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http://swingstateproject.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=3538

Research 2000 for Daily Kos (10/14-15, likely voters, 9/8-10 in parens):

Kay Hagan (D): 49 (42)
Elizabeth Dole (R-inc): 45 (48)
Other: 3
(MoE: ±4%)
R2K's September poll looked like an outlier at the time (especially considering the 55-38 McCain lead in the same poll), but this one looks about right.

Hagan posts a 55-35 favorable rating, while Dole is stuck at 50-43 -- not as terrible as other incumbents we've seen this year, but she's still being outpaced by Hagan.

In the gubernatorial race, Markos reports a 48-43 lead for Pat McCrory, but the crosstabs seem wildly mixed up -- it looks like the top lines were accidentally swapped, meaning that Democrat Bev Perdue would have the 48-43 lead.

Bonus finding: Obama noses McCain by 46-44 in the same poll.

UPDATE: PPP's Tom Jensen points out some big issues with the poll's sample.

[ccharles000]

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