19 months from now a third of the Senate will be up for re election

[ThomWV]

Democrats:

Bayh, Evan (D-IN)
Bennet, Michael F. (D-CO)
Boxer, Barbara (D-CA)
Burris, Roland W. (D-IL)
Dodd, Christopher J. (D-CT)
Dorgan, Byron L. (D-ND)
Feingold, Russell D. (D-WI)
Inouye, Daniel K. (D-HI)
Leahy, Patrick J. (D-VT)
Lincoln, Blanche L. (D-AR)
Mikulski, Barbara A. (D-MD)
Murray, Patty (D-WA)
Reid, Harry (D-NV)
Schumer, Charles E. (D-NY)
Wyden, Ron (D-OR)

Republicans:
Bennett, Robert F. (R-UT)
Bond, Christopher S. (R-MO)
Brownback, Sam (R-KS)
Bunning, Jim (R-KY)
Burr, Richard (R-NC)
Coburn, Tom (R-OK)
Crapo, Mike (R-ID)
DeMint, Jim (R-SC)
Grassley, Chuck (R-IA)
Gregg, Judd (R-NH)
Isakson, Johnny (R-GA)
Martinez, Mel (R-FL)
McCain, John (R-AZ)
Murkowski, Lisa (R-AK)
Shelby, Richard C. (R-AL)
Specter, Arlen (R-PA)
Thune, John (R-SD)
Vitter, David (R-LA)
Voinovich, George V. (R-OH)

Look at the list and tell me that 60+ Democrats in the Senate isn't likely after the next election. Presuming the Republican attack on Senator Dodd doesn't mislead any more Democrats than it already has and that Blanche Lincoln can be replaced with an actual Democrat our prospects look good. Hell, I suppose there's even a chance that Arlen might switch Parties, if he wants to keep a job.

[MrBC]

1. Oh,oh

Hopefully that $12trillion of borrowed money gives an economic bump by then.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=armOzfkwtCA4&refer=worldwide

[ThomWV]

2. And if inflation hasn't exploded just yet

another big "if" who's time will come. I wonder if they will call that a 'bubble' too?

[MadBadger]

3. Its way too early to figure out what is going to happen

If the economy gets worse, more Dems may be vulnerable/less seats for us to challenge.

[Obamanaut]

6. 90% of those names will be reelected. "We the

people" for some reason or other won't limit terms via the ballot box, we want the legislators to enact a law that will limit the terms for us - but why would they cut their own throats so to speak.

They know what we do. Even when we are not satisfied with their performance, we keep them. I think it's a case of "it's better to keep a thief you know than get one you don't."

[Obamanaut]

7. self delete - dupe

[KharmaTrain]

4. Saturation Point...

I think we're starting to reach a point...especially in the House...where the only rushpublican districts left are in mostly crimson red areas that will as easy for Democrats to win as it would be for a GOOPer to take a seat in New York City or Chicago or San Francisco. Few moderates are left and we're seeing the GOOP energize around the fringes.

The Senate has a couple of possibilities, but I see Democrats having to play a lot more defense in '10. This is to be expected as not only will each candidate have to run on their own record, but that of the Obama administration as well. Should the President be successful and remain popular, it will be an asset, if not, as we saw with boooshie in '06 & '08, it could cost seats...no matter how good the candidate.

There are some possible pick-ups in your list. At the top right now is North Carolina. DKos showed a poll the other day with Burr under 50% approval...looking worse at this point than Liddy Viagratesttrack did at this point two years ago. A poll on Bunning the other day showed him behind Democratic candidates as well. Lastly is Diapers Vitter...if he isn't knocked off in the primaries...he's played both ends of the fence...trying hard to suck up to the fundies, but they may still primary him and that could create an opening for a strong Democrat to win.

The Democrats will have their own issues, as we're already seeing here on DU, about whose "liberal" or "progressive" enough. I expect more primary challenges (some very well deserved) that could drain both resources and attention from beating rushpublicans. However, on the hole, I see Democrats looking strong and holding onto solid majorities going into the 2010 election cycle.

[Brazenly Liberal]

5. My dog could beat most of those GNoP losers.

But then, to be fair, she could beat one of my Dem Senators, too - Roland Burris. Burris is to real Senators what a seat filler is to an Oscar winner. I'd be very surprised if he gets the party nod.

[cali]

8. here's my assessment of who's safe and who isn't;

Bayh- really safe
Bennett- really not safe
Bond- word is he may retire, other than that, he's pretty safe
Boxer- safe
Brownback- sadly, he's safe
Bunning- not safe and I don't think he'll run
Burr- on the fence. I think he could be beaten
Coburn- safe, safe, safe
Crapo- crap. he's safe
DeMint- safe
Grassley- is he running?
Gregg- not safe, possible pick up for dems
Isakson- safe
Martinez- not running. possible dem pick up
McCain- probably safe
Murkowski- safe
Shelby- safe safe
Specter- won't win dem pick up
Thune- safe
Vitter- safe
Voinovich- don't think he's running. possible dem pick up.

Now for the Dems

Bayh, Evan (D-IN) ----------- safe
Bennet, Michael F. (D-CO)---- not safe, possible puke pick up
Boxer, Barbara (D-CA)-------- safe
Burris, Roland W. (D-IL)----- dead as a doorknob. likely dem retention
Dodd, Christopher J. (D-CT)-- if he's nominated, he could lose to a puke
Dorgan, Byron L. (D-ND)------ safe
Feingold, Russell D. (D-WI)-- really safe
Inouye, Daniel K. (D-HI)----- if he's alive, he's safe
Leahy, Patrick J. (D-VT)----- even if he's dead he'll be re-eclected
Lincoln, Blanche L. (D-AR)--- Fortunately, the pukes have a hard time putting anyone competitive up against her
Mikulski, Barbara A. (D-MD)-- safe safe safe
Murray, Patty (D-WA)--------- safe
Reid, Harry (D-NV)----------- remember Tom Daschle. He's got a target on his back, and lots of dems arent happy with him either.
Schumer, Charles E. (D-NY)--- safe as can be
Wyden, Ron (D-OR)------------ safe

[zbdent]

9. Voinovich may be vulnerable ...

like Spectre, he often says one thing, then votes Republiclone ...