Over 1000 Cases, 68 Dead

[mudesi]

EVERYBODY PANIC!

Not.

[Spider Jerusalem]

1. 6.8% mortality.

Fun fact: the 1918 Spanish flu had a mortality rate of about 2.5-5% and was the second deadliest epidemic in human history after the medieval Black Death.

[S_E_Fudd]

7. Of KNOWN cases....

The likelihood that every person who has contracted this has been identified is remote in the extreme...probably dozens of cases not reported for every reported case...


Assuming the 75 kids in New York did indeed contract it...that will make over 100 in the US, all mild, no deaths, non hospitalized...

[S_E_Fudd]

8. Of KNOWN cases....

The likelihood that every person who has contracted this has been identified is remote in the extreme...probably dozens of cases not reported for every reported case...


Assuming the 75 kids in New York did indeed contract it...that will make over 100 in the US, all mild, no deaths, non hospitalized...

[uppityperson]

2. And the number dead from car accidents in the last week is....

[roamer65]

3. 6.8% mortality rate is fairly high.

Although I would expect the rate to drop some if the virus goes pandemic. It will mutate as it spreads and via natural selection, variants with lower death rates tend to be favored.

[Mike 03]

5. I agree with you. What was the initial mortality rate for SARS?

There are always some people here at DU who are content to laugh themselves to death. It happens whenever one of these "catastrophe" issues arises.

[roamer65]

11. I don't know on SARS, but on viruses like Ebola...

they tend not to go pandemic due to their very high mortality rates. Those types of viral infections tend to "burn out" before an epidemic can begin.

If this virus has a high transmission rate, along with the 6.8% mortality, it very well could be a "rough ride". IHMO, it definitely has pandemic properties as stated by the WHO.

[uppityperson]

6. this could get interesting.

from a health care provider's standpoint.

[S_E_Fudd]

9. The likelihood that all who have contracted are identified is remote...

Probably dozens of non repoted cases for every identified one...

[Mike 03]

4. Over what period of time, from diagnosis to your current tally?

That is not such a small mortality.

[DevonRex]

10. This is important info for those of us with compromised immune systems.

[glinda]

12. Yes. Like me. Although last week I was really sick with flu like symptoms.

I am hoping that if it was Swine that that would be the worst of it. Hope

[roamer65]

13. Here's what I am hoping.

They have finally identified the nasty bug that has been going around for the last couple of months.

[glinda]

15. You had it also? I almost threw up. Weak, cold chills, lived in the bathroom..

ugggggg! Also had sinus and a bit of bronchial. What were your symptoms????? I don't go out except for errands really and was surprised I might have picked up something.

[DevonRex]

14. You might want to get your IgM and IgG levels for the virus checked.

That way you'll know. IgM means you have an active infection. IgG means you have built some immunity to it after having had it already.

You probably knew that but maybe somebody else will find that information useful.

I'm a little worried because I have a trip coming up in a couple of weeks. I always get sick when I fly anyway.

[Skittles]

16. you are correct