Democrats See Signs of Hope in Job Trends

[Liberal_in_LA]

Democrats See Signs of Hope in Job Trends

But digging deeper, beyond the national numbers, reveals at least a few glimmers of hope for Democrats — still fairly distant and faint, but bright enough to get campaign strategists scanning the horizon and weighing the odds.

That is because different parts of the country are recovering at different rates — and, in a bit of electoral good luck for the Democrats, some of the areas that are beginning to edge upward more quickly, like parts of Ohio, Pennsylvania and New York, happen to be in important battlegrounds for the House and the Senate.

“A lot of the trend lines are turning positive in many of these contested areas,” said Mark Zandi, a chief economist for Moody’s Analytics. “It really boils down to: Is there enough time for the trend lines to trump the still pretty difficult conditions in the minds of the voters?”

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/25/us/politics/25memo.html?ref=us

[bluestateguy]

1. We are still going to get hammered this November

In part because we won too many seats for our own good in 2006 and 2008: districts like ID-1 and MD-1 are just not fundamentally disposed to electing Democrats, and at some point the forces of equilibrium will return again. So the bill is coming due in 2010.

Having said that, I am cautiously optimistic that the trends noted above will favorably position Democrats for 2012, not just Obama, but winning back many of the seats we will lose this Fall.

[Dawson Leery]

2. Certain seats in dark red areas will swing back.

Still, Pelosi and Reid will most likely be running things next year.