O'Donnell Leads in Delaware U.S. Senate Primary (Say it's so. Oh, God, say it's so)

[rpannier]

A new Public Policy Polling survey shows there's a real possibility of a major upset in the Delaware U.S. Senate primary on Tuesday.

Christine O'Donnell (R) leads Rep. Mike Castle (R), 47% to 44%.

Key finding: Castle has an overwhelming 69% to 21% lead with moderate voters but they only make up 33% of the likely primary electorate. O'Donnell has a 62% to 31% lead with conservatives that's more than enough to propel her to the overall lead.

link:
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2010/09/12/odonnell_leads_in_delaware_us_senate_primary.html

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/09/too-close-to-call-in-delaware.html

From PP

If Castle is indeed defeated Tuesday night it will be yet another sign that conservatives have a strangle hold on the Republican Party and moderates may or may not be welcome anymore. Castle has an overwhelming 69-21 lead with moderate voters but they only make up 33% of the likely primary electorate. O’Donnell has a 62-31 lead with conservatives that’s more than enough to propel her to the overall lead.

snip

This race is too close to call and could certainly go either way Tuesday night. General election Senate numbers we'll release later this week make it clear the biggest beneficiary of this primary becoming so unexpectedly hotly contested is Chris Coons. He would start out with a large advantage over O'Donnell in a general election match up, and is polling closer to Castle than he was when PPP polled Delaware last month.

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I still think Castle will win the primary.
But Wow! Just Wow!

[Pab Sungenis]

1. Mike Castle is the guy who forced the National Parks Quarters upon us.

Also the Presidential Dollars because he wanted the Statue of Liberty on a coin.

Let him go rot.

[NorthCarolina]

2. I believe the trend towards the hyper-conservative is a necessary "adjustment" in the GOP

such that they remain politically to the right of the Democratic Party. Two parties with little distinction between them makes for strange bedfellows, and the good cop/bad cop method of crafting legislation will not bode well for the "bad cop" party in the long run.