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among the many new leftist and center-left leaders better than anyone in the State Dept., career or Bushwhack, and, indeed, it seems, better than anyone in Obama's circle of advisers. I remember back in 2006, when Chavez was running for a second term, and the Bushwhacks and the Venezuelan fascists and the corpo/fascist press, there and here, were demonizing him like crazy--this was just after his remark at the UN that Bush is "the devil"--and Lula da Silva made a highly visible public visit to Venezuela, just before the election, for a ceremonial opening of the new bridge between Venezuela and Brazil over the Orinoco River. I was very surprised by this obvious Lulu endorsement of Chavez. I didn't know much about Lulu, so I began following that aspect of things--various alliances that were forming--closely. Lulu may be a centrist on Brazil's economy, and walking a tightrope there between corporatism and social justice, but he has played a key role in support of, and in solidarity with, the other leftist leaders--including both Nester Kirchner (former president) and Cristina Fernandez (current prez) of Argentina, Chavez, Morales in Bolivia, Rafael Correa in Ecuador. It has been a remarkable thing to watch.
And this is what Obama's team doesn't seem to know, as they have let their candidate and president make several blunders, in a very mixed signals policy that has had those of us who have been following things holding our breaths. Are they going to make the stupid blunder of continuing to alienate nearly an entire continent with more "divide and conquer" bullshit? That's where they were heading. Then they seemed to pull back, and have been smarter on Cuba and on El Salvador. The leftist tide in Latin America is overwhelming. There is no going back to U.S. domination, except by blunt force, and even that would fail, in my opinion. The leftist lineup is already amazing: Venezuela, Bolivia, Ecuador, Paraguay, Uruguay, Argentina, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Cuba, with center-left leaders allied with them--Brazil, Chile, Guatemala, and, on critical issues, Chile. Now joined by Costa Rica, at least on the Cuba issue. Honduras is leaning left. Mexico may well go left in the next election. So might Peru. Panama, I don't know--lot of U.S. military there. Colombia is the heaviest fascist dinosaur, with $6 billion in Bushwhack military aid, and a potential major troublemaker.
I've seen efforts by Chavez, and also by Lulu, and, at one point, a number of additional leaders (Correa, Fernandez, Batchelet in Chile, and French, Spanish and Swiss leaders) trying to bring about a change in Colombia, most particularly to end the 40+ year civil war with leftist guerrillas. But with so much U.S. military aid, the Colombian fascists don't want peace. Lulu and Batchelet have been effective at pulling Colombia aboard the new South American common market, and I was surprised to see Lulu speak favorably about the U.S./Colombia "free trade" deal the other day. Like Chavez, he seems to feel that economic cooperation and interaction--positive contacts, and development--will help things. I was equally surprised, last year, when Chavez had a friendly meeting with Colombia's fascist president, Uribe--after so much treachery by Colombia around the FARC hostage negotiations, and the U.S./Colombia very nearly starting a war with Ecuador/Venezuela--about building a new railroad between Colombia and Venezuela, and other economic initiatives. I've realized since that this was to buck up Uribe and the vestiges of civilian authority in Colombia, over against Defense Minister Santos, who would gladly head up a military dictatorship.
In any case, what is clear is that Chavez and Lulu are working cooperatively and in tandem on certain problems, and with a lot of in-put/cooperation and mutual goals with many other leaders.
And this is what Lulu was talking about, when he said "if the U.S. wants to go it alone"--and continue alienating most of Latin America--Brazil will lead the continent in its own direction. Brazil, plus nearly everybody else. The people of South America have had with being dictated to by the U.S. They will not put up with it any longer. They have their own, democratically elected leaders, with boffo approval ratings, and they will forge their own destiny. The U.S. can play its own stupid and sometimes horrific geo-political games, or join with Latin America in creating the most spectacular economic and political recovery the world has ever seen.
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