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struggle4progress Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-26-09 04:59 AM
Original message
Correa set to gain easy victory as Ecuador votes
Sun Apr 26, 2009 6:45am BST
By Frank Jack Daniel

QUITO (Reuters) - ... Polling stations open at 7 a.m local time (1200 p.m. British time) across the volatile country of 14 million people known for its Galapagos Islands, Andean mountain hamlets and Amazon tribes.

Opinion polls this week gave Correa the support of over 50 percent, far ahead of his seven rivals. He needs to score more than 40 percent to avoid a runoff with the second-place candidate ... http://uk.reuters.com/article/UKNews1/idUKTRE53P09U20090426



Ecuador's Correa favored for re-election
By GONZALO SOLANO – 3 hours ago

GUAYAQUIL, Ecuador (AP) — ... Sunday's vote was mandated by the new constitution voters approved in September by a 64 percent vote. It .. makes him eligible to run in 2013 for another consecutive four-year term ... http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5hDRUb8V4xmR66Clw3_dqeskEd84wD97Q02P00
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Judi Lynn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-26-09 08:12 AM
Response to Original message
1. Today's THE day. Good luck, President Correa. Thanks, struggle4progress. n/t
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rabs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-26-09 03:34 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Listening to Radio Quito
and everything is going smoothy. First results will be announced two hours after polls close. Five hours later more difinitive results. Ecuador is two hours behind EST, polls close at five Ecuador time.)

You will be able to see results here:

http://www.ciudadaniainformada.com/

Reporters from around the country are having a hard time putting drama in the process, saying all is "normalidad."

"Rain showers hindered voting in some places." :rofl: "Thirty-nine people were arrested for violating liquor-sales ban." :rofl:

Ecuadorans abroad allowed to vote, armed forces and police get to vote for first time but it is optional, non-sentenced prisoners in jails were allowed to vote on Friday, also for the first time.

Correa's main rivals; banana maganate Noboa (richest man in Ecuador); Lucio Gutierrez, corrupt former president who was kicked out after two years. Both are expected to get around 20 percent or less. Five other candidates, all but one on the fringe.

10.5 million eligible to vote.

Correa needs 50 percent plus one vote to win outright.
Another scenario: Correa must get 40 percent and be 10 points ahead of his nearist rival.

There are almost 2,000 other electoral positions up for grabs today, including the national assembly.





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rabs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-26-09 05:39 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. First exit poll says Correa has been re-elected



with 54 percent of the vote. (Do not know how reliable this poll is.)

El presidente Rafael Correa se quedará 4 años más en su cargo, después obtener el 54 por ciento de votos, según el ‘exit poll’ de la encuestadora Santiago Pérez.

Por su parte, Lucio Gutiérrez del partido Sociedad Patriótica fue segundo con el 31 por ciento y Álvaro Noboa, del Prian, tercero con el 8 por ciento.

Martha Roldós alcanzó el 4 por ciento de los votos. Los candidatos restantes, Carlos Sagñay, Diego Delgado, Melba Jácome y Carlos González, suman 3 por ciento.

http://www.elcomercio.com/noticiaEC.asp?id_noticia=272836&id_seccion=3
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Peace Patriot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-26-09 08:15 AM
Response to Original message
2. "The VOLATILE country of 14 million people..."?? I don't think so. With 64% of the people
having approved the new Constitution, Correa headed for an easy win as president and enjoying approval ratings in the 60% to 70% range, I don't think "volatile" is the right word--unless, of course, Rotters and the Associated Pukes are privy to CIA/Exxon Mobil plots to render Ecuador "volatile" with fascist riots, destabilization and coup attempts (as was tried in Bolivia, under the Bushwhacks, only this last September).

Does democracy = volatile? "Volatile" based on what evidence? Ecuadorans are more united than they have ever been. They are happy with Correa's government. Ecuador was once a "volatile" country, prior to Correa. It no longer can be described that way. And the only reason that his 60% to 70% approval ratings are apparently not going to result in an overwhelming landslide--but rather just a winning plurality (probably in the 50%+ range)--is the field of seven candidates, splitting voters off from Correa to both the right and the left, and is primarily because of pressure from the left--and from leftist candidate Martha Roldos (polls give her 10%--that is Correa's missing landslide)--which wants yet more democratic transformation in Ecuador.

The left is running a candidate much the way the antiwar left here ran candidates for president in the primaries, during the Vietnam War, and, recently, during the Iraq War, to "send a message" to the powers-that-be. In 1968, for instance, Eugene McCarthy ran against LBJ on the Vietnam War issue, and actually lost the New Hampshire primary, but made such a good showing that LBJ dropped out of the race, which made way for Bobby Kennedy to run for president, also on an anti-Vietnam War platform. McCarthy never expected to be elected president--and probably didn't even want to be president--but served the function of "sending a message." Correa has critics on the Left--environmentalists, indigenous tribes--who think he has not gone far enough to correct certain problems. For instance, the indigenous tribes now have the right to argue against bad mining and other corporate crimes on their tribal lands, but do not have a veto over it. They want a veto. Correa has resisted this, because mining is his economic fallback, for funding social programs, given fallen oil prices. He would no doubt like to do more to protect the environment (he agreed to Mother Nature--"Pachamama," in the indigenous language--being enshrined in the Constitution has having the independent right to exist and to function properly), but feels constrained by economic requirements. Thus, Roldos is able to shave off 10% of his votes from the left. The remaining 30%-40% is the typical rightwing minority that we see in South America, and here, which only wins elections by stealing them, one way or another, often with U.S. government funding and support. The minority rightwing is split between two candidates (who are equally odious).

Gaia News has a somewhat more accurate description of the context in Ecuador, for its lede, as follows:

"GUAYAQUIL, Ecuador — President Rafael Correa’s radical transformation of once unstable Ecuador, including a new constitution that would grant him greater powers, is expected to propel the leftist economist to easy re-election on Sunday."

http://blog.taragana.com/n/easy-re-election-expected-sunday-for-ecuadors-feisty-leftist-leader-36801/
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struggle4progress Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-26-09 08:24 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. I do apologize for linking to such dreadful articles. The parts I didn't quote
were far worse

I'm afraid I had forgotten that the election was today until I started searching for news about the Americas :blush:

Thanks for the link

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rabs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-26-09 06:07 PM
Response to Original message
6. Second poll says Correa won handily





Cedators/Gallup poll

Correa 55.2 percent
Gutierrez 27.7 percent

Voting stations have closed.

http://www.telam.com.ar/vernota.php?tipo=N&idPub=143520&id=288665&dis=1&sec=1
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struggle4progress Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-26-09 06:39 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Correa declares re-election victory
... Three separate exit polls say he won well over half the vote in an eight-candidate field ... Exit polls done for state TV and two independent TV channels gave Correa at least 54 percent of the vote, with former president and coup leader Lucio Gutierrez second ... http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5hDRUb8V4xmR66Clw3_dqeskEd84wD97QE7KO5
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Judi Lynn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-27-09 06:18 AM
Response to Original message
8. Ecuador's Correa headed for easy re-election
Ecuador's Correa headed for easy re-election
By GONZALO SOLANO Associated Press Writer © 2009
April 26, 2009, 11:34PM

QUITO, Ecuador — President Rafael Correa, a leftist economist who has championed the poor and alienated international investors, appeared headed for easy re-election Sunday in a break with Ecuador's history of political instability.

Partial unofficial results accounting for more than three-quarters of ballots cast showed Correa winning more than half the vote in an eight-candidate field, making him the first president elected in Ecuador in 30 years without a runoff.

Correa, who vowed to rid the small Andean nation of its corrupt political class when first elected, declared victory moments after polls closed. He sang his party anthem, danced and pumped fists with his close political advisers in his home city of Guayaquil.

"We will never defraud the Ecuadorean people," he told cheering supporters. "I think that's why we received such immense support. We've made history in a nation that between 1996 and 2006 never saw a democratic government complete its term."

~snip~
Voters at home and abroad on Sunday also chose a new 124-seat National Assembly — six seats of which will directly represent the Ecuadorean diaspora — as well as governors and mayors. Exit polls indicated Correa's Alianza Pais party and allies would win a majority in the new congress.

More:
http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/ap/top/world/6394027.html
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