CA-Sen, CA-Gov: Fiorina, Whitman Soar in New SUSA Poll

[ccharles000]

SurveyUSA (5/21-23, likely and actual voters, 5/6-9 in parens):

Meg Whitman (R): 54 (39)
Steve Poizner (R): 27 (37)
Others (R): 10 (7)
Undecided: 9 (14)
(MoE: ±4%)

This is a pretty dramatic gyration for SurveyUSA here, who previously showed a significant tightening of the GOP gubernatorial race just a couple of weeks ago. Keep in mind that two other very recent polls (from Research 2000 and the Public Policy Institute of California) both showed Whitman up on Poizner by only 10 points or less. Among those voters who have already cast their ballots (17% of the sample), Whitman leads Poizner by 55-32.

Senate numbers:

Tom Campbell (R): 23 (35)
Carly Fiorina (R): 46 (24)
Chuck DeVore (R): 14 (15)
Tim Kalemkarian (R): 4 (3)
Undecided: 11 (23)
(MoE: ±4%)

Again, this dramatically different than every other poll we've seen, with R2K giving Campbell a 37-22 edge on Fiorina and PPIC also giving Fiorina an edge on Campbell, but only by 25-23. Either this one is a huge outlier, or SUSA is seeing something pretty dramatic that other pollsters have missed. Among those who have already voted, SUSA finds that Fiorina holds a 44-30 lead over Campbell.

In other news, Barbara Boxer has announced that her campaign has raised $2 million since the start of April, bringing her cash-on-hand up to $9.6 million.

http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/6961/casen-cagov-fiorina-whitman-soar-in-new-susa-poll

[Unvanguard]

1. Fiorina has a smaller chance of beating Boxer, so I'm rooting for her. n/t

[Jennicut]

5. Boxer would have a much more competitive race with Campbell so this is a good thing

for her.

[tishaLA]

6. Fiorina has been running good ads

I don't think she can beat Boxer, but her primary ads have been effective.

I'm honestly surprised that Poisner has lost so much ground on Whitman; he's been running a slew of ads painting Whitman as soft on "illegals" but they don't seem to be paying off.

[xxqqqzme]

2. Hard to believe

My RW mother can't stand whitman.

[Retrograde]

3. A plague on all their houses

I finally saw a Poizner ad, which made me lose any little respect I had for him. Whitman comes across as someone with more money than sense. Fiorina used to run a company headquartered in my town and I haven't seen any visible support for her here. Campbell used to be my rep, and he was OK for a Republican back then, but I don't know how much he can stand up to the party. No matter who comes out on top in the GOP primary it's going to be a long time until November.

[MadBadger]

4. This polls reeks of BS

[KingFlorez]

7. I don't buy it

First off, Whitman has lost a lot of ground over the last few weeks and Poizner was closing the gap. Second, I haven't seen one poll that had Fiorina leading by this much, I've only seen one poll that gave Fiorina a lead and it was a minimal one.