2010: Democrats

[ProSense]

Poll question: 2010: Democrats

Democrats are going to

[saltpoint]

1. I think the Pukes are in trouble. The nutbags are loud and crazy.

The "leadership" is muddled and negative.

I think the GOP is going to take a lickin'.

[MadBadger]

2. Lose seats in both houses, but retain both.

[Recursion]

8. You forgot:

"Panic and stampede to the right as they accept the media's claim that losing a few seats is a massive drubbing that gives the GOP the mandate to run the country."

[tekisui]

3. I think they will maintain majorities in each, but suffer losses in each.

The Senate will get much tighter.

[nevergiveup]

4. The Gulf is the wild-card.

No one knows how this is going to play.

[jimlup]

6. It will play against the party in power

People are stupid. They can't reason through who is to "blame". They just blame the party in power. I wish I wasn't that cynical but I am.

[jimlup]

5. Never overestimate the intelligence of the electorate

They have a very short memory and a tendency towards knee jerk reactions.

[PBS Poll-435]

7. My *Official* Predictions

Hold PA, WA, IL, CA, NV, NY, AR.

Pick up OH, MO, KY.

Lose DE.

FL is a wash.

Net gain +2.


61 in the Senate.





House is a little more volatile, but I still think we will have 235+ when the dust settles.

[Recursion]

9. You foresee a Senator Paul? NT

[PBS Poll-435]

10. Ewww...

And pick up KY.

(Thanks for the jolt. I knew I was forgetting something...)


+2

61 Dems in the Senate.

[Recursion]

11. I figured. I don't buy the MO pick-up, but it seems reasonable

The House is the bigger worry for me.

[PBS Poll-435]

12. Robin CARNAHAN - Open Seat in MO

The name is still gold in Missouri.

[Recursion]

13. I saw a bumper sticker back in the early aughts

"Now do you see why we voted for the dead guy?"

[Mass]

16. We also lose ND and IN, most likely.

[Name removed]

20. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[IndianaGreen]

14. Keep House, lose Senate

Bayh's seat, a nominally Democratic seat, will become a formal Republican seat per latest polls.

One silver lining: Harry Reid will win reelection.

[depakid]

27. That's a huge stretch looking at the math

and I wouldn't consider retaining the best player on the Republican team over the past 7 years to be a silver lining. Unless the Senate's prepared to dump him.

[jgraz]

15. Dems will hold both houses and continue to kowtow to the nutbag right.

The more things (hope and) change...

[grahamhgreen]

17. The voting machines are corrupted AND they can spend unlimited funds.

[Ozymanithrax]

18. Repukes will make gains in the house and Senate, but not take them. n/t

[old mark]

19. We will retain both. The GOP will be shocked, the baggers will be angry, the Democratic

Party leaders will learn nothing and things will continue as they have been going.


mark

[PM Martin]

21. Tea Parties could cost the Republicans signifigant potential gains.

[mikekohr]

25. Bingo! Tea Party is at 50% disaproval, the more people see of them, the less they like them

We will drop 12-18 in the House. The Senate could swing 2-3 either way. But November is a long way off. How the disaster in the Gulf plays out will make a big impact.

mike kohr

[PM Martin]

26. Was that a credible poll, I must ask?

It is great if the Tea Party is fading, the faster the better.

[mikekohr]

28. It is a recent ABC/WaPo poll and there is additional GOOD news for Democrats & President Obama in it

here is the link:

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/6/8/873950/-ABC-WaPo-poll:-Half-with-unfavorable-impression-of-tea-party,-6-in-10-disapprove-of-GOP-policy

mike kohr

[ShadowLiberal]

22. I've gotten skeptical of us losing the house since we won Murtha's seat

If the GOP is going to retake the house, then a district like Murtha's should be a #1 pick up opportunity, given how it's gone more republican over the years. If the GOP can't win a seat like that, then they have little chance at taking the house.

[DrToast]

23. Agree. That changed the story quite a bit.

[PM Martin]

24. kick for more responses.

[racaulk]

29. I feel pretty good that we will hold onto the Senate.

The Dems' caucus already has 59 seats. So of the 18 blue seats that are open, 10 of them would have to turn red (with zero red seats turning blue) for us to lose our official majority (since Biden is our tiebreaker). I have a hard time seeing a scenario where it mathematically makes sense that the Republicans can retake control in this election cycle.

The House? I'm not as confident there. I think we will see a decrease in our majority to be sure, but how much of a decrease remains to be seen.

I'm voting for option #1 in your poll, and I'm trying to stay positive about our chances in November!

:hi:

[Doctor_J]

30. Hoping like hell for A

Though it's not really progress, it at least keeps the bottom from dropping out.

[PassingFair]

31. I think we will "lose" the Senate, but it won't make any difference.

With democrats like Blanche Lincoln, who needs
republicans?

I'd rather have them outside peeing outside
than inside leaving puddles.

[pstokely]

32. lose a few seats, keep control of both

a typical midterm, but media will call it a victory for the pukes