Here are the republicans up for Senate in '12 who are most vulnerable?

[book_worm]

Turn-out will be higher. The economy will be better (at least it better be) and Obama will be at the top of the ticket:

Republican incumbent elections
1 Jon Kyl of Arizona
2 Richard Lugar of Indiana
3 Olympia Snowe of Maine
4 Scott Brown of Massachusetts
5 Roger Wicker of Mississippi
6 John Ensign of Nevada
7 Bob Corker of Tennessee
8 Kay Bailey Hutchison of Texas
9 Orrin Hatch of Utah
10 John Barrasso of Wyoming

First, Olympia Snowe will be defeated in the primary by some teabagger. So ME could be another DE-and a possible pick up for Dems. Next Dems did pretty well last night in MA because they were motivated and had candidates who actually campaigned--if a strong Dem can go up against Scott Brown, we could win back Ted Kennedy's Senate seat. I'm not sure Kay Bailey is going to run, but if she does she might be vulnerable. Dems proved in Nevada that they have a great GOTV machine--and who knows Angle may even challenge Ensign and he might lose in the primary! What about Kyl is he vulnerable? (as far as I'm concerned the only safe republicans on that list are Lugar and Hatch--but who knows? they might be teabagged.

But looking ahead Dems have our own problems: If the farm belt I think probably Ben Nelson of NE and Kent Conrad of ND are vulnerable--and of course we have to replace Lieberman with a real democrat--not even sure Lieberman will run. Given how badly the Dems did in Michigan last night I don't think Stabenow can be feeling really good right now, but if things are better economically she and all dems will be in better shape.

[joeybee12]

1. I see Brown and Ensign as strong possibilities...the others? No way...

still getting two should help.

[book_worm]

3. What about possiblility of Snowe losing primary in ME to a tea bagger?

[pstokely]

2. As of right now I don't think things change much in the Senate in 2012 either way

number wise

[sadbear]

4. 6 of the Democratic Senators up for elections in '12 are from states we lost last night

Sherrod Brown, Kent Conrad, Claire McCaskill, Bob Casey, Bill Nelson, and Herb Kohl. In addition, there's Jon Tester, Jim Webb, Joe Manchin, Bob Menendez, and Debbie Stabenow. I know A LOT can happen in two years, but 2012 looks better for them than it does for us. Sigh.

[DrToast]

5. Yep, this was supposed to be the good year for us, 2012 the good year for them.

[timkainemustgo]

6. Brown will lose if they put up a decent candidate. Ensign is toast. I think he will get primaried.

He won because Martha sucked.

[thewiseguy]

7. I do not think the Democrats are going to make any gains in the senate

We would be lucky if we did not lose more seats.

[pstokely]

8. Really depends on the economy

If the economy is improving, Obama on the ballot and higher turnout will favor Dems but 2 years a lifetime away in political years