Survey USA: Obama leads all GOP candidates in Michigan by 11 or more points

[WI_DEM]

(This was interesting since Unemployment is significantly higher in Michigan than the national average):

Michigan registered voters were asked about a number of high-profile Republican candidates running for president against Barack Obama. In elections for President in Michigan today 10/14/11, it’s:

Obama 50%, Mitt Romney 39%.
Obama 52%, Ron Paul 34%.
Obama 53%, Herman Cain 32%.
Obama 53%, Rick Perry 32%.
Obama 54%, Newt Gingrich 31%.
Obama 56%, Michele Bachmann 30%.
For full results and interactive crosstabs, click here.

Cell-Phone respondents included in this research: 545 Michigan adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/12/11 through 10/14/11. Of them, 500 were registered to vote. This research was conducted multi-mode: respondents reachable on a home phone (69% of respondents) were interviewed on their home phone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. “Cell phone” respondents — those not reachable on a home phone (31% of respondents) — saw the questions displayed visually on their smartphone or other electronic device. Cell phone respondents occasionally, but not always, vote differently than do landline respondents. For example: Mitt Romney trails Obama by 5 points among landline respondents but by 25 points among cell-phone respondents. When the two groups are proportionally blended, Romney trails by 11. Newt Gingrich trails Obama by 13 points among landline respondents, but by 46 points among cell-phone respondents. When the two groups are proportionally blended, Gingrich trails by 23.

http://www.surveyusa.com/

[Jackpine Radical]

1. Wow, those are startling discrepancies between the cell phone & landline

numbers.

"Mitt Romney trails Obama by 5 points among landline respondents but by 25 points among cell-phone respondents. When the two groups are proportionally blended, Romney trails by 11. Newt Gingrich trails Obama by 13 points among landline respondents, but by 46 points among cell-phone respondents. When the two groups are proportionally blended, Gingrich trails by 23."

What characteristics differentiate the 2 groups? Age? Education? Income?

And when you do a survey like this, how do you get the cell phone numbers? How do you randomize the sample?

[catbyte]

2. We know what the GOTP has in store for the nation after

seeing what these sorry excuses for Governor & both legislatures that we have now are doing to dismantle everything good about Michigan government.

Diane
Anishinaabe in MI

[FSogol]

3. He leads them all by 50 points of IQ also. n/t

[ellisonz]

6. +120

[AtomicKitten]

4. Nice.

[DCBob]

5. very good news indeed.

MI and the other nearby traditional upper-midwest blue states are critical to his reelection.

[sakabatou]

7. It's almost guaranteed Obama will win

Unless something goes horribly wrong.

*knocks on wood*