Source:
Mother Jones— By Kevin Drum
Sat Jun. 11, 2011
For the past few decades, Democrats have been in charge of the California state legislature when it came time draw up redistricting plans after the decennial census. In 2001 a Democrat was governor too. But in 2008 and 2010, voters (including me) approved initiatives that took redistricting out of the hands of the legislature and gave it to an independent commission charged with creating compact, nonpartisan district lines. Yesterday they released their map of California's new districts. So what happened now that Democrats are no longer in charge?
You're looking at three to five Republican members of Congress that just kind of vanish," said Matt Rexroad, a Republican political consultant in Sacramento who advises clients on redistricting. The prospect of Democrats securing two-thirds of both state legislative houses is "very much in play," he said. No single party has held a supermajority in both the Assembly and Senate in many decades.
....In Washington, some GOP strategists expressed confidence that Republicans would be able to compete in some of the proposed new districts that appear to favor Democrats, possibly limiting the loss of seats to just one or two. But analysts were predicting otherwise.
"At minimum,
should pick up two to three seats, but that could go as high as four to five," said David Wasserman, House editor of the Washington-based Cook Political Report, which monitors redistricting.
http://motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2011/06/california-set-become-even-more-democratic
Read more: http://motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2011/06/california-set-become-even-more-democratic
Wow. If Dems get a 2/3 majority it means they can actually pass a budget with **gasp*** tax increases on the wealthy so we can save public education and public services. Even though Dems have a majority, they can't pass a budget with any tax hikes because the state constitutionr requires a supermajority.
This is huge. I don't know if those 3-5 Republicans who may "just kind of vanish" according to this analysis includes Brian Bilbray but his district is now very competitive in registration, and even the GOP admits he will have a tough time. Bilbray, you may recall, picked up Randy "Duke" Cunningham's seat after Duke got convicted of bribery (he's now in the slammer). Bilbray however is arguably just as corrupt or worse. He started a Congressional cigar "club" that 's a front for lobbyists to schmooze legislators and does their bidding.
If you're in CA, click this link and put in your address to see how your districts change: http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-redistricting-map,0,6145644.htmlstory
Meanwhile I'm ceelebrating because under the proposed new district lines, I will no longer be represented by Republicans in Congress, the state Senate or state Assembly -- my town is moving to all Democratic districts. The redistricting also moves a college in our area into a Dem district--wow, what a concept, a representative who may actually show up and speak to the students, and even listen to them!
Please kick this puppy into the stratosphere!