Heavy rain event coming for drought-stricken regions of Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas

[malaise]

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1952
<snip>
A strong low pressure system is expected to track across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles this weekend, bringing the heaviest rains of the year to drought-stricken portions of Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas, including Abilene. Rainfall in this region has been 13 - 20 inches below normal for the year; Lubbock, Texas has had just 3 inches of rain this year, compared to a normal of 16 inches. Rainfall amount of 1 - 4 inches will be common in the region over the weekend, and may be able to reduce drought conditions from the highest level (exceptional) to the second highest level (extreme.) However, the heaviest rains will stay confined to the western half of Texas, and Texas's major cities such as Houston will see very little rain over the weekend. As of yesterday, Houston had gone 253 consecutive days without a one-inch rainstorm, a new record. The longest previous such streak was 192 days, set in 1917 - 1918. The last one inch rainstorm in the city was January 24, 2011. Remarkably, the local National Weather Service office has not issued any flood products in over a year.

A large low pressure system with heavy rain is expected to develop over Cuba, South Florida, and the Bahamas on Saturday. The counter-clockwise flow around this low will bring strong winds and heavy rains to much of the Florida coast on Saturday, and these conditions will spread northwards to Georgia by Sunday and South Carolina by Monday. I doubt that this storm will acquire enough organization to evolve into a subtropical storm that gets a name, based on the latest model output, and the fact that the storm's center may well be over the state of Florida. This will be a large, diffuse system that will bring strong winds and heavy rains to a large area of the Southeast U.S. coast, regardless of the exact center location. Portions of the coastal waters along the Florida Panhandle, as well as from Northeast Florida to South Carolina, are likely to experience sustained winds of 30 - 40 mph Monday and Tuesday. Since the storm is going to get its start as a cold-cored upper-level low pressure system with some dry air aloft, it will not be able to intensify quickly.

[seabeyond]

1. that is what they say. 1-3 inches for us. we are hopping on our toes, lol. nt

[malaise]

3. Here's the good news for you

It's been raining since lunchtime in Kingston and it will be raining most of the night across the island. What's more, there is even more rain south east of JA.

[seabeyond]

4. ya, well. you may see good. i see NUTHIN where i live. which is about par for EIGHT months now,

lol.

pictures of storms all around us but when it gets to us, fizzles out. what is that shit

[malaise]

6. I'm just hoping we don't have the floods like last year

the sky sure looks ominous right now.

[seabeyond]

7. sheeeit. i will take floods. dumbshits can go to higher ground. i will take a hurricane

not gonna be picky. son has a cross country meet tomorrow. suppose to rain. not hoping for pretty sunshine. a little water doesnt hurt at all. lol lol

[malaise]

8. I can see it's really bad in Texas

LOL :D

[TBF]

2. We've got 30-40% chance of storms this weekend -

sure hope they come. It is windy and partly cloudy here.

[seabeyond]

5. lots of wind since yesterday. has calmed a tad. SEVENTY fuckin percent

for us. surely. except last time at 70% we got nada.

[Ezlivin]

9. Perry's prayers worked!

Praise the Lord!

[cutlassmama]

10. LOL, he prayed back in April. Sure took a LONG time for it to be answered.

Looks like he's not high priority on someone's list.

[Ezlivin]

19. God wanted Perry to prove his citizenship first

Apparently Perry had no paperwork to back up the claim that he was a citizen of Heaven.

[malaise]

16. NOT

:rofl:

[Ishoutandscream2]

11. Malaise, I have been very grateful for your kind posts

Your concerns about our region and the drought has been much appreciated. Don't think we Texans here haven't noticed how kind you have been during all of this. Thanks.

[maddezmom]

12. couldn't agree more with your post

:thumbsup: and a hug to malaise for keeping us and DU informed.

[malaise]

15. We must thank Jeff Masters

:evilgrin:

[maddezmom]

18. :-)

[malaise]

14. You're welcome

Remember I have Texas family :D

[liberal N proud]

13. Texas can have it.

It rained 8 of the last 10 day here.

[Bloke 32]

17. It must be the Work of Jesus!

:sarcasm:

[watercolors]

20. we are having a deluge her in central FL., I hope Tx is also!