Hurricane RINA-where is she heading ?

[malaise]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT18/refresh/AL1811W5_NL_sm2+gif/204155W5_NL_sm.gif

[Aerows]

1. Hope those in her path take precautions

Fill the bathtub with water (out of water)
Pack the freezer with water in bags (no refrigeration)
Make sure you have any medication (store isn't available)
charge up everything you have (phone and any cooking appliances)
Get out if you can, or if you have a compelling reason to stay, do the above.

Thanks for the thread, Malaise. You and I both know about hurricanes hitting.

[malaise]

4. Florida folks this looks serious

[Obamanaut]

8. Not really. nt

[Aerows]

2. Seriously, when did this rear its ugly head?

This is the end of hurricane season.

[malaise]

3. Rina intensified into a hurricane just 21 hours after the

first advisory was issued for it as a tropical depression. This is the second fastest such intensification since record keeping began in 1851.
Forecast for Rina
The hurricane hunters found an elliptical eyewall that had a gap in it during their 3:30 pm eye penetration. The aircraft measured a temperature difference of 6°C between the eye and the region outside the eye, which is difficult to get unless an eyewall is on its way to completion. Rina will need to complete its eyewall if it is to intensify into a major hurricane. Given the fact wind shear is not expected to increase until Wednesday, Rina has a 2-day period to close off an eyewall and intensify, and it will probably reach Category 3 or Category 4 strength by Wednesday. On Wednesday, Rina will encounter a dry airmass with high wind shear that lies over the extreme northwestern Caribbean. These conditions should weaken the hurricane, but Rina could still be a major hurricane if it makes landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula on Wednesday or Thursday.

A trough of low pressure is predicted to pass to the north of Rina late this week, and now that the hurricane is expected to be a Category 2 or stronger storm, the chances for Rina to make it farther north and affect the Florida Keys and Southwest Florida have increased. The latest 8 am EDT runs of the GFDL and HWRF models both predict that Rina will pass through the Yucatan Channel on Thursday and make landfall on Friday in the Florida Keys or extreme Southwest Florida, south of Naples. The NOGAPS and GFS models predict a weaker storm, and keep Rina trapped in the Caribbean. I think it is more likely that Rina will pass through the Keys. If Rina does make it to the Keys, it would likely be as a tropical storm, since wind shear, dry air, and possible land interaction with Western Cuba and Mexico would potentially knock down the storm's strength. Heavy rains from Rina should begin affecting Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula, northern Belize, and extreme Western Cuba on Wednesday. Rina's intensification into a hurricane over the Western Caribbean during the last half of October bring to mind Hurricane Wilma, which also performed such a feat in 2005. Wilma went on to become a Category 5 monster, the strongest Atlantic hurricane of all-time. I don't think Rina will be another Wilma, even though the ocean temperatures and total heat content are similar to what Wilma experienced. Wilma had nearly ideal upper-level atmospheric conditions with an anticyclone aloft and light wind shear, under 5 knots. Rina is experiencing 15 - 20 knots of wind shear and is also a smaller storm, and is thus more vulnerable to the effects of wind shear and dry air.
:hi:

[dipsydoodle]

5. I did wonder

when I looked at that yesterday following your first post on the subject.

At least it missed you.

:hi:

[malaise]

6. LOL

Too busy watching the one with his eye on Jamaica :D
Good morning :hi:

[dipsydoodle]

7. Hurricane Rina grows on path towards Mexico's Cancun

Hurricane Rina has swelled to a category two storm as it sweeps towards Mexico's top tourist destination, Cancun, and other beach resorts along the Caribbean coast.

Rina is set to be near land late on Wednesday, forecasters say.

Further south, a Nicaraguan navy vessel that went missing with more than 20 people on board has been found safe.

>

At 0600 GMT on Wednesday Rina had sustained winds of 175km/h (110mph), the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) said.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-15443540