Wisconsin Poll: Republican Enthusiasm Gap Vanishes

[highplainsdem]

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/03/10/wisconsin-poll-republican_n_834252.html

Mark Blumenthal
Wisconsin Poll: Republican Enthusiasm Gap Vanishes
First Posted: 03/10/11 05:12 PM Updated: 03/10/11 05:12 PM


The poll released this past weekend by a conservative Wisconsin think tank did more than indicate a preference for compromise among Wisconsin adults. It also includes evidence that the enthusiasm gap favoring Republicans in Wisconsin in 2010 has vanished.

The survey of 603 adults, conducted by the Wisconsin Policy Research Institute (WPRI) between Feb. 27 and March 1, included a question asking respondents whether they are likely to vote in the 2012 elections. Poll respondents typically overstate their true voting intentions on these sorts of questions, and the WPRI survey is no exception: Nearly four out of five respondents (79 percent) said they are "almost certain to vote," while another 8 percent said they will "probably vote," even though the actual turnout among eligible adults in 2008 was 72.1 percent. Nevertheless, these responses provide a crude indicator of intentions, as those who say they intend to vote are more likely to turn out.

-snip-



When WPRI asked the classic party identification question -- including the follow-up that asks independents how they lean -- they found Republicans had a 5 percentage point advantage with leaners included (47 percent to 42 percent) in June 2010. But on the survey conducted last week, Democrats had a 9-point advantage (48 percent to 39 percent) among the most certain voters.

So while last year's survey of Wisconsin showed the same enthusiasm gap favoring Republicans that pollsters found nationwide, that gap had vanished in the survey conducted last week. In Wisconsin, where Democrats outnumber Republicans among all adults, that shift translates into roughly the same Democratic advantage that the party enjoyed in 2008.

[XanaDUer]

1. Good

nt.

[madmax]

2. Now there's a bright spot in an other

totally fucked up situation.

[ej510]

3. Will it last?

[WolfoftheWild]

4. not only will it last, it will become a Democratic edge

[Scurrilous]

5. K & R

:thumbsup:

[fascisthunter]

6. ooopsi

[highplainsdem]

7. kick