Severe outbreak upgraded from yesterday as expected to a level 5 in OK and KS [View all]

[Cheezoholic]

Last edited Mon May 6, 2024, 01:52 PM - Edit history (1)

Edit*: The primary low pressure system causing the havoc has dropped to 986mb's and falling as it moves S/SE over WY/Western NE/KS. I know that may not mean much but I've seen Cat 2 Hurricanes over 100mph with that kind of pressure. The weather experts are very very concerned in some of their latest wording. And not just in the highest level area, anywhere in at least the yellow on up really need to be aware. Watches are being issued now.

Very strong (EF3+) long tracked tornadoes and especially "Giant Hail" of over 4 inches can be expected. I have personally experienced hail of that size and I'd rather have a tornado. Scariest weather phenomena I've experienced outside hurricanes.
Much of the areas under the gun will be the same affected last month some of which have been declared disaster areas by the Federal Govt so they are going to be especially vulnerable as they try and recover.

Much of the severe weather into tomorrow will be very dependent on the evolution and tracks of storms today at granulated scales too fine for models to accurately pickup on but the general consensus is 2 more days of extensive severe weather farther east into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley's working it's way to the mid-Atlantic/SE states through Thursday.

Only posting this for awareness as we haven't seen a repetitive pattern like this at the peak of tornado season in nearly 10 years. Tornado season peaks from mid-May through June in the Midwest and we really have been experiencing quiet seasons in many of these areas lately so it's easy to forget.

Some tips...
Any kind of new or used helmets and a battery powered weather radio WILL save your families lives more than anything else you have besides a shelter or basement. If in your home then get as close to the center and/or lowest point in your home (the center, not bathtubs, bathtubs fly). The area where there are the most walls between you and a neighbors toothbrush going 200mph. Cover up in couch cushions, mattresses, pillows, you want to make yourself and your family into a protected ball. And importantly, DON'T rely on cellphones or the internet for warnings! That radio WILL save your life, not Ryan Hall. If you're out don't try and run away unless you have experience running away from tornadoes, which you don't because even experienced chasers don't run away, you will die. Get out of your car, you're not a storm chaser (there are too many as it is, why I quit). Do not get underneath under passes, you will die and kill others. Sad to say but duck and cover are your best chances. Just plain old get out, get as low as possible... ditch, against a curb, anything lower than whats around you, curl up into a ball and cover up with anything you can find. Remember, your average airliner, big airliner goes maybe 140 mph and lifts 500 tons or more of metal and flesh into the air. An EF3 tornadoes winds are going that fast and faster so your 5,000lb 4 runner is a piece of newspaper. I'm saying this because I saw a lot of morons last month that are lucky to be here today (including some dumbass chasers) and I've seen people die in these things. Seriously not joking, I've watched people die in front of my eyes being Darwin award wannabes.

Below are links to NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) who are responsible for all official severe weather forecasts and issuing severe weather watches with the next 3 days of expected severe weather coverage.

I'm including Ryan Halls channel if he's your cup of tea (not mine). Also a link to a real Meteorologist Trey Greenwoods uTube channel who gives a quick 5 min summary in the beginning then gets into the geeky shit of the forecasts if you're into that like me.

Stay safe

NOAA's Storm Prediction Center. All severe weather roads lead here (and the NHC of course)
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/

Outbreak forecast areas next 72 hours

Today into tonight


Tomorrow through Wed morning (very well may be upgraded)


Wed into Thurs morning (very well may be upgraded)


Trey Greenwoods channel Convective Chronicles (science science science)

Ryan Halls channel with all his shiny objects