General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsBecause of this tax cut, the Fed will aggressively raise interest rates to head off inflation
You cannot have low interest rates, low taxes, and the current level of federal spending all at the same time. We've had almost 10 years of zero percent interest rates, and only recently they've gone up to 1.75, still a historical low. Goldman Sachs predicted 4 rate hikes in 2018 taking the rate to 2.75. My prediction is that they won't stop until the rates are at 4.5% which will dramatically slow down the economy.
In 2019, if the Dems assume congressional majorities, they may be facing a full blown economic recession for which they will be blamed by low information voters.
If the tax cuts are deficit financed, that is going to juice the economy and it will overheat, significantly raising the odds of a recession early in the next decade, Zandi told HuffPost.
https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/donald-trump-federal-reserve-offset-tax-cuts_us_5a2076cae4b03350e0b55f99
roamer65
(36,745 posts)There is only one way out of this much debt...inflate. The Fed will not risk a depression by increasing rates substantially.
The bread and circuses are about to cost us a LOT more denarii.
Yavin4
(35,427 posts)Right now, there's no fiscal constraint. You cannot have tax cuts, low interest rates, and current levels of govt. spending all at the same time without it triggering hyper inflation.
roamer65
(36,745 posts)But 10-20 pct? Yes. That rate of inflation can and has been hidden in the past.
quartz007
(1,216 posts)Trumpy's party is gonna lose big!
flamingdem
(39,312 posts)but not the developers who got a 600 billion gift included today..
Yavin4
(35,427 posts)Whatever little tax cut you got, it will be gone with higher interest payments on your mortgage, student loans, credit cards, etc.
flamingdem
(39,312 posts)When do regular Joe and Jane begin to complain loudly?
Yavin4
(35,427 posts)Trump and the Republicans will blame them.
flamingdem
(39,312 posts)but they have to have the right leaders and money to pay for all of that
radical noodle
(8,000 posts)for anything you buy. Especially mortgage.
NutmegYankee
(16,199 posts)And higher interest will help a lot of retired people get some decent earnings from savings and CDs.
Roland99
(53,342 posts)Lucky Luciano
(11,252 posts)Last edited Wed Dec 20, 2017, 08:17 PM - Edit history (1)
...inflation may not be so bad.
benld74
(9,904 posts)Like it was known to be a done deal then