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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums2nd poll in a week shows tie in race for seat Trump won by 21 points [Dr. Hiral in Arizonia]
Second poll in a week shows tie in race for seat Trump won by 21 points
https://shareblue.com/second-poll-tie-arizona-8th-special-election-debbie-lesko-hiral-tipirneni/
By
Matthew Chapman -
April 20, 2018
Another once-safe Republican seat is suddenly competitive. And Republicans should be terrified.
This week, the political world was startled by a poll showing Democratic emergency physician Hiral Tipirneni had a margin-of-error 46 to 45 lead over former Republican state Sen. Debbie Lesko, in the special election for Arizonas 8th Congressional District.
But lest anyone dismiss it as an outlier, a second poll released Thursday evening also showed the deep red suburban Phoenix district is indeed neck and neck. And there are some serious red flags for Republicans in the results.
According to the Lake Research Partners poll, commissioned by the Tipirneni campaign, the candidates are tied 44 to 44 among likely voters and 46 to 46 among people who have already voted early.
The poll finds voters view Tipirneni favorably by 18 points and Lesko unfavorably by 2 points. It also finds Democrats are much more motivated to vote.
Most astonishingly, the poll shows 13 percent of Republican early voters so far have defected for Tipirneni. For context, only 8 percent of Republicans in Alabama crossed over to vote for Democrat Doug Jones in the Senate race last year, and that was enough for him to win.
Two months ago, these numbers would have been unthinkable.......................
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LAS14
(13,783 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)revealed all around the nation are contrasting dramatically, with our Democratic candidates, who are generally speaking clean, competent, and decent, and often very fine.
People remember lies, not politicians earnestly working at what they're elected to do, and that is a huge advantage for the Republicans, the reason they've developed these mega lie operations. Half the people here, even, have grown up so soaked in that they have no idea what they have to be proud of.
Hiral's doing outstandingly in the Land of Arpaio considering she is named Hiral Tirpineni and was born in India, is new to politics and the electorate, is reasonable and decent on immigration issues, and is, of course, a Democrat.
jes06c
(114 posts)I saw one of Tipirneni's ads in the waiting room, and I have to say, it was a damn good ad.
riversedge
(70,299 posts)be so remarkable and give Dems some mojo 🌊🌊🌊 #FlipItBlue #BlueWave2018 #VoteThemOUT
Nac Mac Feegle
(971 posts)But it could just be gas.
I know how red this district is, after 30+ years here.
I'm a cynic when it comes to Arizona politics.
Remember, you can't spell "crazy" without R-AZ.
I hope I'm not jinx-ing it. I REALLY want her to win. The R-'s will freak out spectacularly.
KelleyKramer
(8,982 posts)Get your surfboards out, there is a huge wave coming!