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Sat May 5, 2018, 09:33 PM

Why do so few users here not understand that single polls don't mean much?

Itís the poll average that matters. Donít people get that yet?

8 replies, 1419 views

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Reply Why do so few users here not understand that single polls don't mean much? (Original post)
Loki Liesmith May 2018 OP
former9thward May 2018 #1
Loki Liesmith May 2018 #4
Hoyt May 2018 #2
pnwmom May 2018 #3
Loki Liesmith May 2018 #5
Loki Liesmith May 2018 #6
RockRaven May 2018 #7
Loki Liesmith May 2018 #8

Response to Loki Liesmith (Original post)

Sat May 5, 2018, 09:41 PM

1. Maybe you should provide context.

It helps...

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Response to former9thward (Reply #1)

Sat May 5, 2018, 09:49 PM

4. Just see a lot of panic

Over a single ďpollĒ (really a Reuters online probability sample) that shows Trump at 49%.

This at a time when 2 other simultaneous polls have Trump down 15 and 9 (Pew and Monmouth respectively).

Given the statistical standards we use about 1 of every 20 polls should show bizarre or surprising results.

Iím not going to call out a single poster but itís discouraging to see people who have been here longer than me freaking out. Havenít we learned the game yet?

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Response to Loki Liesmith (Original post)

Sat May 5, 2018, 09:43 PM

2. I think most do, but it is disturbing when object of poll should have a very low approval rating.

And many who disapprove do so only because the object of the poll isnít deporting enough immigrants, dropping more bombs, shooting more innocent minorities, destroying safety net even faster, and worse.

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Response to Loki Liesmith (Original post)

Sat May 5, 2018, 09:46 PM

3. And online, self-selected polls are always unreliable, no matter how much

they try to dress themselves up as real polls.

If they don't include a "margin of error," then they're a pseudo-poll, a non-scientific poll and no one should be posting them here.

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Response to pnwmom (Reply #3)

Sat May 5, 2018, 09:50 PM

5. True

Theyíve gotten better but still not proven methodologies.

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Response to pnwmom (Reply #3)

Sat May 5, 2018, 09:51 PM

6. I'm cool with them posting those results

But they should put them in proper context...

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Response to Loki Liesmith (Original post)

Sat May 5, 2018, 10:08 PM

7. Innumeracy is widespread. nt

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Response to Loki Liesmith (Original post)

Sat May 5, 2018, 10:19 PM

8. We are overdue for a CNN poll

Bet we see one tomorrow.

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