Which Republican will drop out after tonight?

[RandySF]

My money is on Michele Bachmann. Iowa is her backyard. She practically lived there over the past year. She was the early frontrunner who is left with almost no money and very low numbers. If she lives up her low expectations, there is no rational (yeah, I know) explanation for her to continue. Who else do you think is out after tonight?

[rox63]

1. I agree - Bachmann will be the first to drop out

After she has a dismal showing tonight. She was apparently born and raised in Iowa, which doesn't appear to have helped her at all.

[snooper2]

2. I thought she was born in a test tube and raised by the DoD

[TheWraith]

28. Only when she's not taking her meds.

Which is forever.

[tabbycat31]

34. DUZY

[monmouth]

5. That has to really hurt...n/t

[oberliner]

3. None

I think they all soldier onwards towards New Hampshire.

[Raine1967]

14. I agree. Wait until after New Hampshire.

We will see people drop out after New Hampshire. There have been many examples of a candidate winning NO delegates in IOWA and still going on to win the parties nomination.

Case in point: Huckabee won in 2008 with 34% of the vote, McCain got 13%.

And If IIRC, John Edwards beat out Hillary clinton for the #2 position.

[Raine1967]

35. I was wrong.

Rick Perry appears to suspending his campaign. HE really is the Fred Thompsonof 2012.

Mea Culpa.

[sufrommich]

4. I think Bachmann and Huntsman will

both be gone.

[cthulu2016]

6. Huntsman will not drop out tonight

His whole campaign is New Hampshire.

Then he'll drop out.

[sufrommich]

12. From a poll today: Willard has a

huge lead in New Hampshire (43%), with Huntsman a very distant third (10%). He's basically throwing money away after Iowa.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/polls/202079-mitt-romney-holds-solid-lead-in-nh

[cthulu2016]

25. He was basically throwing money away before Iowa

I'm not saying he is rational -- just that he won't drop out before NH

[SaintPete]

10. Hunstman is running 2nd in New Hampshire

He's not in any rush to bail

[sufrommich]

13. Not according to this poll from today:

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/polls/202079-mitt-romney-holds-solid-lead-in-nh

[SaintPete]

26. yes, you're right

I should have read deeper into the source I found that placed him 2nd:

Ron Paul Wins Latest New Hampshire Primary Straw Poll
– January 2, 2012

Ron Paul finished with 1,844 votes (28%) to win the second to last 2012 New Hampshire Primary online straw poll. Jon Huntsman finished in a surprising second with 24% edging out hometown favorite Mitt Romney who finished in third with 23%. Newt Gingrich finished in fourth with a respectable 12%.

http://2012newhampshireprimary.com/ron-paul-wins-latest-hampshire-primary-straw-poll/

Online straw poll. Not worth the paper it was written on

[AlinPA]

19. He won't go anywhere and should quit now. He has no chance at all.

Why Huntsman can’t win the republican primaries:
1. He supported civil unions as Governor of Utah
2. He said he would not use federal powers to block a law legalizing same-sex marriage.
3. He threatened to veto a bill repealing in-state college tuition for illegal immigrants.
4. He signed a bill giving illegal aliens access to “driving-privilege cards”.
5. He supports granting more H-1B visas to foreigners
6. He has not taken an anti-immigrant or anti-Hispanic stance.
7. He signed the Western Climate Initiative, by which Utah joined with other governments in agreeing to pursue targets for reduced production of greenhouse gases.
8. He appeared in an advertisement sponsored by Environmental Defense, in which he said, “Now it’s time for Congress to act by capping greenhouse-gas pollution"
9. He worked in the Obama administration as an ambassador to China
10. He is a Mormon
11. He said he believes in science
12. He said he believes in evolution.
13. He has said that President Obama is an American citizen.
14. He is too rational, too normal, too genteel for most of today’s conservatives.

[SaintPete]

23. All good reasons for him to stay in the race

if for no other reason that the longer it takes to get the GOPers behind Romney, the better the Dems will do.

[AlinPA]

24. But the republicans reject him for those reasons, so he is a non-issue.

[SaintPete]

29. Some reject him, but his sanity needs to be infused into that party

it's good for the country.

But I don't think he's running to win this year. I don't think he's even interested in a VP slot...I believe Huntsman is running to position himself for 2016, when he'll be able to face off against a lesser candidate than Obama.

[AlinPA]

31. It's a shame that the US has fallen so low that one party can only run extremists and morons.

Sarah Palin is probably sorry that she didn't run because she would be in the lead now.

[tledford]

33. In other words, he can't possibly win because he isn't bat-shit crazy. eom

[Life Long Dem]

7. I hope it's Bachmann who drops out.

Because I was getting some vibes she would never go away like Palin.

[onenote]

8. Bachmann would be the logical choice, but I think she'll stay in

to maintain her visibility and thus her place in the VP sweepstakes field.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

9. Have you seen her Intrade numbers? Not too good at all. Bye-Bye, "lying-ass bitch!"

[brooklynite]

11. A prediction...NOBODY drops out.

It's only a week to New Hampshire, and assuming an indeterminate result in Iowa (three candidates bunches together), there's no reason not to play on and hope that the top tier people stumble.

[oberliner]

20. Agreed

After NH we will see the first drops (Hunstman, most likely).

[liberal N proud]

15. Na! - there are more books to be sold and more lies to be told.

Most of them are not in it to win it, they are in it to sell the books and raise their speaking fees.

[quinnox]

16. Obama is the real winner!

I don't care about the GOP race, or what ever happens in it. I just keep repeating to myself "Obama is the winner" over and over

HEH HEH

[NewImproved Deal]

17. The Fundies

--Bachmann, Perry and Santorum--may linger until South Carolina to make a bid for that GOP constituency.

[Historic NY]

18. The longer the circus the better its is for Obama.

[LadyInAZ]

38. Agrees!!!

[Erose999]

21. I'm thinking Perry will be the first to quit. He tried to out-bigot Santorum and failed.

He doesn't even have the "I'm the douchebag from Texas" card anymore, as Paulbot is also from Texas.

[cthulu2016]

36. YOU WIN!!!

[joeybee12]

22. None of them will...

All too full of themselves...

[GoCubsGo]

27. Yep.

Not to mention delusional.

[UTUSN]

30. R#2 & K for, None of them have the decency to. Well, I might have thought HUNTSMAN had

some decency, but his running in the first place laid that to rest.

[SaintPete]

32. Why does his running negate his decency?

I don't think he's in to win, just to increase name recognition for 2016

[Ilsa]

37. Bachmann, Huntsman, Perry.