There is a lot of talk that Dems could take back the House, but I don't hear

[shraby]

any scuttlebutt as to where we stand toward taking the Senate. There are at least 2 senators quiting and one is very ill. Flake, Corker and McCain.

[donkeypoofed]

1. Most pundits say that the Senate could stay Repugnican

And they may be right. I hope not though.

[marylandblue]

2. some chances for pickups there

Flake will most likely be replaced by a Dem. Good chance A Dem gets Corker's seat too. McCain's replacement will be appointed by the Governor until, currently a Repub, but the gov. election is this fall,and the Democrat could win that too. But Democrats ar vulnerable in other places like Florida, Missouri and North Dakotaa, so it is still a tough map.

[Awsi Dooger]

3. Not great odds

This site has it:

71% stay Republican
16% no advantage (50-50)
13% Democratic takeover

https://predictwise.com/politics/14978-2

Basically we would need to win virtually all of the razor tight races. There is precedent along those lines but the reason the examples become so well known is the long shot aspect. That's why it's proper not to be too carried away beforehand.

Trump needs to do something so outrageous his approval ratings drop into the 30s and our House generic edge moves upward at least a couple of points, from 7 to 9.

At that point the senate remains underdog but is more manageable.

[DeminPennswoods]

4. In wave elections, it often seems to happen

that competitive seats break late to the party of the wave. For ex, an incumbent thought relatively safe like Ted Cruz could lose.

[MFM008]

6. Exactly

Like Alabamas senate seat.
Anything is possible.
And if you're voting against Trump why would you vote for republicans in the Senate democrats for the house and still give him the options of getting some stuff done it doesn't make sense.

[Achilleaze]

8. "But, but, but, I am annoinTED." - Cruzster (R-Cubanadian)

[global1]

5. We Need An Historic Turnout In Nov....

Most people ever to turnout and vote of any previous election in the U.S.

This will lessen the effects of the Repugs suppressing votes; stealing votes; cheating ; gerrymandering and Russian influence.

GOTV!!!! Encourage everyone you know to GOTV!!!! We can do it!!!!

[beachbum bob]

7. the fact is, 2018 is a tough year for democrats having to defending way more senate seats than GOP

the odds are not in democrats favor BUT if democratic voters get off their asses, it is possible to not only reelect all our candidates, we could see a 2 or 3 net seat gain.

Not impossible, but difficult

[Gothmog]

9. There are 10 or so Senate Democrats who are up in trump states

If Clinton had won, the GOP would be looking at picking up six to eight senate seats. Here is it difficult but the Democrats could pick up seats and not lose them

[DeminPennswoods]

10. That's kind of misleading

Bob Casey in PA, Sherrod Brown in OH are pretty safe. Manchin is well-known in WVa and has run statewide for gov twice and Senate 6 years ago. Tester is an incumbent and Mont has a Dem gov. McCaskill is also an experienced incumbent. Breedson has run and won statewide in TN for gov. Really, the most serious concern is Heitkamp in SD and if she loses that will probably be off-set by Dems picking off Heller in NV.