Who got Iowa right among RealClearPolitics, Nate Silver at 538, Pollster, the DM Register, etc.?
It seems worthwhile to keep track of which pollsters and forecasters are correct and which are all washed up.
Which do you think is correct?
RCP Avg:
22.8% Romney
21.5% Paul
16.3% Santorum
13.7% Gingrich
11.5% Perry
6.8% Bachmann
2.3% Huntsman
538 Projection:
21.8% Romney
21.0% Paul
19.3% Santorum
15.1% Gingrich
10.4% Perry
7.9% Bachmann
3.8% Huntsman
Pollster Avg:
22.4% Romney
21.0% Paul
15.8% Santorum
12.6% Gingrich
11.0% Perry
8.3% Bachmann
3.7% Huntsman
DMR:
24% Romney
22% Paul
15% Santorum
12% Gingrich
11% Perry
7% Bachmann
2% Huntsman
PPP:
20% Paul
19% Romney
18% Santorum
14% Gingrich
10% Perry
8% Bachmann
4% Huntsman
NBC:
23% Romney
21% Paul
15% Santorum
14% Perry
13% Gingrich
6% Bachmann
2% Huntsman
Rasmussen:
23% Romney
22% Paul
16% Santorum
13% Perry
13% Gingrich
5% Bachmann
3% Huntsman
CNN:
25% Romney
22% Paul
16% Santorum
14% Gingrich
11% Perry
9% Bachmann
1% Huntsman
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