RealClear Politics House, Senate, Governor forecast analysis:

[George II]

Looking at the RealClear Politics data today, I saw some interesting (and unfortunately not all totally positive) things.

The House looks great - the current House is 193 Democrats, 235 republicans, 7 vacancies.

According to RCP as of now, Democrats are at 201 Safe, Likely, or Leaning; republicans are at 191 Safe, Likely, or Leaning.

There are 43 they rate as toss ups, but of those there are only TWO currently Democratic toss ups, 41 currently republican toss ups. That's great, even if they break 50/50, that would be 232 Democrats and only 223 republicans, but Democrats should win more than half. We could see Democrats with 240 or more.

The Senate is not as rosy - currently 49 Democrats, 51 (including the now vacant Arizona seat) republicans.

Democrats have 44 Safe, Likely, or Leaning; republicans have 47.

There are 9 toss ups, 5 currently Democratic and 4 currently republican. If they stay the same, we'd remain at 49-51. There's an outside chance Democrats could wind up with a majority.

As far as Governors are concerned, there are 20 Safe, Lean, or Likely Democrats, 22 republicans, and 8 toss ups. BUT, all the toss ups are republican except for Alaska, which is currently Independent. Although it doesn't have any real importance, Democrats could easily wind up with a majority of Governors, too.

All things considered, with the unknown level of trump's negative affect on the election, it could be a very good day in November!

[at140]

1. haha Gerrymandering is not helping the

repooblicans (in House seats, it does not affect statewide elections).

[Roland99]

2. Governorships aren't important?? Did I read that correctly??

Are you nucking futs?? They means veto power over majority Republican state houses and Senates. It means Democratic SoS most likely and a massive reduction in voter suppression and correcting gerrymandering

It's incredibly important!

[George II]

3. No you didn't read it correctly. Go back and read it again IN ITS ENTIRETY.

a MAJORITY of Governors isn't important. When do they get to vote as a bloc?

Sheesh, is that all you got out of that post?

[Roland99]

6. A majority would be incredible!

It would be a huge swing for Dems! That's a massive turnaround from now and affects local politics much more!

[Demsrule86]

8. The post is good but the idea that state elections don't matter much is false...they

are as important as national.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

9. A majority of Governors means less gerrymander and suppression. Fewer anti-women bills.

That IMPORTANT. Duh.

Yes, they don't vote as a bloc, but winning governorships is vitally important now because districting is going to happen after the next census. Districting needs to be locked away into impartial independent commissions, permanently.

A majority of Governors is better than a minority and that's IMPORTANT.

[NastyRiffraff]

4. Interesting analysis

and pretty encouraging. However, we MUST turn out in unprecedented numbers. The Republicans can read polls and trends too, and they're willing to cheat in any way possible.

[David__77]

5. I hope there are many hundreds of state legislative seats gained.

And I hope there are many state legislative bodies for which Democrats will assume a majority. This will be so, so important during the period ahead, to have places where progressive policies can be enacted to create an alternative that can be implemented nationally.

[Demsrule86]

7. Governorships are very very important...it is becaue we lost them in 10 that the GOP was

able to gerrymander the House...we would have had it back in 12...Governors are very important and the census is upon us.