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[left-of-center2012]

This message was self-deleted by its author (left-of-center2012) on Wed Sep 12, 2018, 06:16 AM. When the original post in a discussion thread is self-deleted, the entire discussion thread is automatically locked so new replies cannot be posted.

[Iliyah]

1. Never heard of this poll.

[OilemFirchen]

2. Adam Probolsky is an Orange County GOP grifter.

Please excuse the double redundancy.

[Garrett78]

3. Yep. And his polling company gets funded by Republican candidates. See link:

https://www.opensecrets.org/expends/vendor.php?year=2016&vendor=Probolsky+Research

I expect both Newsom and Feinstein to win by 20+ points.

[Initech]

4. There's lots of MAGAholes in my county.

Don't get me wrong, I love where I live, but with the political climate here, you would think it's rural Alabama, not Southern California.

[Garrett78]

7. Even here in Northern Cali where my Dem. Rep. will win re-election by 50 points...

...there are plenty of (i.e., more than zero) Republicans. In a state this populous, that's a given. Nearly 4.5 million Californians voted for Trump. Only Florida and Texas gave him more votes.

[R B Garr]

6. Interesting! It makes sense that a GOPer is trying to promote

the challenger to Feinstein by conjuring this up.

[Garrett78]

8. And when a poll is that much of an outlier, something's fishy. That's why it's good...

...to follow the link and read up on the polling firm in question.

I don't think any really recent polling has been done, but both Newsom and Feinstein were up by more than 20 points in late July polling.

[R B Garr]

9. That's great analysis on your part. Even the title of this

thread looked like a sham. I’m glad you shared your investigation. That puts things in proper perspective.

[Garrett78]

12. The idea that Newsom has just a 5-point lead is so absurd that...

...rather than using a biased sample, I wonder if Probolsky simply made up those numbers. Newsom will be our next governor. Period.

The Feinstein vs. de León race is tougher to predict because there is a huge percentage of undecideds. Maybe not quite 34% like Problosky indicates, but close to that. Still, Feinstein has to be considered a heavy favorite. I'd be fine with de León winning. If he doesn't win, I hope he runs again after Feinstein decides to retire.

[winstars]

5. Well, thats 45 seconds of my life I wasted... The SacBee sites bunch of BS pollster...

[Tiggeroshii]

10. De Leon had a good shot.

He is my state senator and i know he will be a great u s senator

[Garrett78]

13. I wouldn't say he has a "good shot," but he has a better chance than Cox does of winning.

He'll need a lot of Republicans voting for him (just to spite the incumbent Feinstein) and for an overwhelming majority of the undecideds to break for him. That's a super tall order.

[lapfog_1]

11. The GOP will be lucky to come out of the next election

with any congressional delegates, much less a governor (ok, a bit of an exaggeration, but still...)

The Democrats have a super majority in the state legislature and a mortal lock on the bulk of the Congressional House delegation and Senate seats... worry about some other state please. No FUD here. I, personally, will try my very best to get rid of Jeff F'ing Denham in my district.

https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article213874509.html