FL-GOV: Women, independent voters push Andrew Gillum up six points over Ron DeSantis

[RandySF]

Per Rasmussen Reports, Democrat Andrew Gillum has a six point lead over Republican Ron DeSantis in the gubernatorial race.

The Rasmussen poll of 800 likely voters was conducted Monday and Tuesday.

Gillum was buoyed by female and NPA voters, and held his own with men and white voters, while DeSantis continues to show difficulty reaching out beyond his base.

DeSantis had just a one point lead (48 to 47 percent) with men, but was 13 points down (50-37) with female voters.

DeSantis likewise was up just one point with white voters (46-45), and down 75-24 with African-American voters. Hispanics, however, favored DeSantis 48-37.

Gillum was up with two of three age cohorts. Though those aged 45-64 favored DeSantis 51-38, Gillum was the favorite of voters 65+ (60-38), and 18-39 (56-32).

Likely voters are already polarized with these candidates. DeSantis had a “very unfavorable” rating of 32 percent, 4 points above his “very favorable” rating; Gillum had a “very favorable” rating of 28 percent and a “very unfavorable” rating of 26 percent.

Both Gillum and DeSantis can count on the votes of at least 80 percent of their own party, if the survey is accurate. NPAs break in this survey toward Gillum by a 54-29 percent margin.

This is the second Republican-leaning poll to show Gillum strong this week.


http://floridapolitics.com/archives/274771-npas-push-andrew-gillum-up-six-over-ron-desantis-says-rasmussen-poll


ANDREW GILLUM





https://splash.andrewgillum.com/?ref=https://andrewgillum.com/

[hlthe2b]

1. Fantastic!

[sheshe2]

2. Boom!

[NorCen_CT]

3. Hispanics are 48-37 for DeSantis!?!?

That seems very high (and with 15% either undecided and/or third party).

Edited to add: Gillum is +24 (!!) with the 18-39 year olds, wow!

[Ligyron]

5. Cubans usually go GOP traditionally.

Because of Kennedy and the Bay of Pigs. Plus, they are generally conservative and family oriented and see the GOP as standard bearers of "family values" (barf).

Not so much with the younger crowd though and PR's have to be all in against Trump and the GOP's.

[NorCen_CT]

7. I wonder if any of the PR transplants post-Hurricane Maria are being polled

Not just in this poll, but any of them.

[Ligyron]

17. Good question.

I'm making an assumption I probably shouldn't saying the newly arrived after having their island trashed with no help from Trump PR's in FL are going to be going Democratic in a big way.

I sure hope so, they might make all the difference.

[Awsi Dooger]

6. Many of the categories don't make sense

No chance Gillum is doing that well with seniors (60-38), or that poorly with blacks (75-24)

I could keep going. Few of the numbers make perfect sense. But that's true of other polls also. That's why aggregating is so valuable and normally accurate.

[NorCen_CT]

8. I didnt even catch that it was Gillum up with the seniors, I thought it was DeSantis!

And 110% agreed on the aggregation of polls.

[StevieM]

14. Voters under 40 are voters who were under 30 when Barack Obama was first elected.

You might remember he absolutely clobbered John McCain among those voters.

It wasn't just about young people being more liberal at that age. It's about the fact that people born around 1979 and later have a totally different approach to politics. They have different values in so many ways than the older generations do.

[smirkymonkey]

19. It always baffles me that Hispanics tend to poll as high as they do in favor of

GOP candidates considering the fact that the GOP hates them and would probably put them all in camps if they could get away with it. Then again, it amazes me how many women vote GOP as well. I just don't understand what motivates some people.

[R B Garr]

4. K&R!

[Hortensis]

9. Woo-hoo!

Now, we know vast amounts of money are going to be poured in for DeSantis, but past and present races are showing it's often completely wasted on Republican candidates in these situations. (And often not.)

[LS_Editor]

10. Better get ready for the voter suppression.

[Scurrilous]

11. K&R

[Tiggeroshii]

12. Hes gonna wipe the floor with that intolerant joker

[JHan]

13. Yessss!

[FloridaBlues]

15. I'm very surprised that he is down points with Hispanic's

[appalachiablue]

16. K & R. New direction is sorely needed in Fla.

[Wounded Bear]

18. Good for him!

And good for Florida!