The best thing that could happen for Bredsden...

[scheming daemons]

...is having liberal PACs pulling away from him and claiming he isn't liberal enough.

I want "Senate Judiciary Chairman Feinstein" instead of "Senate Judiciary Chairman Grassley".

To get that, we need the Senate.

To get the Senate, we need the Bredsdens and Manchins and Testers to win.

And in their states, being called "not liberal enough " helps them win.

Bredsden's campaign staff is high fiving each other, and rightly so.

We are in a war, people. Understand that different battlefields require different tactics.

[beachbum bob]

1. totally agree, I rather people that that agree with us 50% of the time than 0% of the time

[Me.]

2. OR

Sinema in Arizona

Beto in Texas

Rosen in Nevada

All who have the edge at this moment. It could, longshot, turn out that we don't need Manchin for the majority

[Gothmog]

3. The Hoarse Whisperere agrees

Link to tweet

[peacebuzzard]

4. If Bredesen said otherwise it would doom his chances

Of winning with a narrow streak.
This is Tennessee, and Dems are enemies of this state.
He knows how it works.

I hate Kavabeer and the Repugs but this is Bredesen ensuring a blue win in this state.
Better than another Corker or f####Marsha.

[peggysue2]

5. Exactly!

Bredesen is as Blue a Dem as you're going to get in Tennessee. He's considered a moderate with broad appeal across the political spectrum. And God knows, he's 1000% better than the odious Blackburn who is merely Michelle B (crazy eyes) with blond hair.

The Republicans are worried about this race. Let's give them a nervous breakdown. And win this thing!

[peacebuzzard]

6. Yes indeed, and he is the favored candidate

People in Tennessee are concerned about Medicaid, Medicare and social security
This state does not boast a healthy or overwhelmingly informed population, but the older generation will vote Bredesen in.

[Stuart G]

7. And..guess who proposed and passed "Medicare" ??

Last edited Sat Oct 6, 2018, 09:03 PM - Edit history (1)

The Democratic Party under LBJ. Let's say Bredesen votes in the correct way, 90 percent of the time..and on very important votes, like budgets, and wars.....95 percent..Think about it...??A lot better than Susan Collins, or Corker..

(oops another typing error...wrong word, it was passed, not massed, sorry)

[peacebuzzard]

8. For the most part Repugs here

Vote because that’s just how they vote in the family, church, friends etc...they have no blessed idea about the origins of their party, But thank God they know Bredesen and Tenncare. (State insurance)
Corker is retiring as a millionaire from the Senate. Corker disgusts me, and so does Marsha.

[JudyM]

11. Not favored in the 538 polls...

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/tennessee/

Clicking on their “lite” version has them about even, but he still needs to fight fight fight.

[DeminPennswoods]

12. 538 does a lot of weighting and adjusting polls

based on many past-is-prologue things. It's like fantasy sports "analytics" except for politics, which is no surprise since Nate Silver is hooked on fantasy baseball stats. I think the only numbers they don't pay attention to are the marginal frequency reports from each poll that are the most important statistics in each poll.

538 is fun as a betting tool, that's about it.

[JudyM]

13. Their "lite" version is straigt poll results, though. Which site is a better gauge of things, in

your view?

[DeminPennswoods]

15. I'm not a fan, in general, of the poll aggregator sites

I'm not a statistician, but I did spend my career trying to forecast what would be needed in the future. A lot of what went into those forecasts was based on what happened in the past. Usually that combined with specific experience was enough to be reasonably accurate, but there were times when the past was not a good predictor.

I don't think that using polls from months ago is relevent, events change too fast these days. I just look at the latest polling data and prefer polls that are run by pollsters who are familiar with the state they're polling. For example, in Pennsylvania that's the F&M Poll. This poll shows the trends for each of its polls, but it doesn't try to roll that data up to reach some sort of conclusion. It does look at what the current data is and compares it to historical data to reach conclusions which I find more credible in predicting what might happen.

[peacebuzzard]

14. You know I think he will pull through

The health insurance issue will be the reason. I am foretelling Repugs wills cross over for the Senate seat and vote red the rest of the ticket. I am hoping Renee Hoyos rides in with Bredesen, she is stumping on the healthcare issue, that is a dream team win.

[JudyM]

16. Sounds great, fingers crossed!

[meow2u3]

9. Better a conservative Democrat than a crazy, far right Russiapublican

[Stuart G]

10. Let's assume we win in 2020..and the we have a Democratic President..

Who do you want to support that person...some moderate Democrat who votes with us 95 percent on real important issues..

............Or some right wing slob who never votes with us...NEVER....this show is over...next few days I will send a donation to Bredesen's campaign..